Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T19:47:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
EA 0xea19…58f2 sports 237 markets active 5d ago coverage 105d
TRAPdo not copy sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$118 (-5%) realized −$118 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -10% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR34%break-even
Win rate45%106W / 131L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$9per market
Trades / day17.5pace
Fees−$16est.
Kalshi-fit97%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$2
14 days−$43
30 days−$241
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 67% −$58
world 29% −$76
other 3% +$1
politics 1% −$2
economics 1% +$1
crypto 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-19.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -38.6% -44.4% 50% 0% -44.6%
≤30d 116 -26.8% -33.8% 36% 26% -39.9%
≤90d 204 -13.9% -22.1% 43% 33% -18.4%
all 237 -10.5% -19.0% 45% 34% -15.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover17.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -19.0% 34% -15.0%
10% -26.8% 22% -23.1%
15% -33.8% 17% -30.5%
20% -40.3% 14% -37.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 16% · top 2 27% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -10% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
22% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -10% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +2% → late -23% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
6.2 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$5 · ×0.99 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.8 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

105d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$118
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses106 / 131
Est. fees paid−$16
Open positions0
Markets (closed)237 / 237
History coverage105d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day17.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 237 Trades
no open positions (10 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $2 −$2 -82%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $2 $0 +5%
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS - Game 3 Winner Jun 09 $1 $0 +23%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $2 −$1 -31%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 09 $6 −$1 -18%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $1 +$1 +65%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $1 −$1 -79%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $1 $0 -0%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $4 $0 -4%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $1 −$1 -99%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $2 −$1 -49%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $3 +$2 +53%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $1 $0 -33%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $2 $0 +14%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $1 −$1 -97%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $4 $0 -7%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $6 −$4 -64%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $4 −$1 -25%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $6 +$1 +20%
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $3 +$1 +38%
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $6 −$3 -50%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $6 −$1 -15%
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $2 +$1 +67%
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports (BO5) - LCP Playoffs Jun 06 $2 +$1 +29%
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $5 $0 +2%
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $3 −$1 -40%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $10 −$2 -17%
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $3 $0 -14%
LoL: Conviction vs CCG Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $3 −$2 -59%
LoL: Barça eSports vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $3 −$1 -41%
LoL: Conviction vs CCG Esports - Game 3 Winner Jun 05 $7 −$4 -60%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 3 Winner Jun 05 $8 −$4 -55%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $1 $0 +3%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $3 −$3 -97%
LoL: Barça eSports vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO3) - LES Playoffs Jun 05 $6 −$3 -48%
LoL: Barça eSports vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $12 +$1 +8%
LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports - Game 3 Winner Jun 05 $4 −$3 -71%
LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $6 −$3 -52%
LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $5 $0 -8%
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports (BO5) - North American Challen Jun 05 $12 −$2 -18%
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports - Game 3 Winner Jun 05 $1 $0 +13%
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports - Game 4 Winner Jun 04 $8 −$2 -20%
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - LES Playoffs Jun 04 $2 −$1 -43%
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 4 Winner Jun 04 $3 −$2 -73%
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 3 Winner Jun 04 $1 $0 +7%
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winner Jun 04 $3 −$1 -43%
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 3 Winner Jun 03 $8 +$1 +8%
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 2 Winner Jun 03 $6 $0 +4%
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 4 Winner Jun 03 $9 −$7 -72%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 3 Winner Jun 01 $4 +$1 +22%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner SELL T1 10¢ $0 5d
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 55¢ $1 5d
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 50¢ $1 5d
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winner SELL RED Canids 92¢ $0 6d
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winner SELL RED Canids 92¢ $1 6d
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winner SELL RED Canids 91¢ $1 6d
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winner BUY RED Canids 89¢ $1 6d
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winner BUY RED Canids 85¢ $1 6d
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs SELL Karmine Corp 8¢ $0 10d
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs BUY Karmine Corp 37¢ $1 10d
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner SELL G2 Esports 100¢ $1 10d
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner BUY G2 Esports 93¢ $1 10d
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner BUY G2 Esports 72¢ $1 10d
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner SELL G2 Esports 100¢ $1 10d
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner SELL Karmine Corp 7¢ $0 10d
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner BUY G2 Esports 80¢ $1 10d
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner BUY Karmine Corp 47¢ $1 10d
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner SELL Karmine Corp 100¢ $1 10d
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner BUY Karmine Corp 94¢ $1 10d
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner BUY Karmine Corp 83¢ $1 10d
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner SELL Karmine Corp 61¢ $1 10d
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner SELL Karmine Corp 59¢ $1 10d
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner BUY Karmine Corp 79¢ $1 10d
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner BUY Karmine Corp 70¢ $1 10d
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL KT Rolster 28¢ $1 10d
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY KT Rolster 44¢ $1 10d
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Dplus KIA 82¢ $1 10d
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner SELL Dplus KIA 45¢ $1 10d
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner BUY Dplus KIA 65¢ $1 10d
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner SELL Dplus KIA 2¢ $0 10d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1992 history records