Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:05:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EA
0xea09…3a5e
crypto · 376 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$938 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$917 · open −$21
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$329
Realized−$917
Unrealized−$21
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses211 / 155
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions9
Markets (closed)366 / 376
History coverage16d
Avg bet$25
Trades / day72.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 9 History 366 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$132
7 days+$42
14 days−$671
30 days−$918
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 20¢ 16¢ $141 $118 −$22 (-16%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 65¢ 64¢ $65 $64 −$0 (-1%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $50 $51 +$1 (+3%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $50 $47 −$3 (-6%)
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $10 $12 +$2 (+19%)
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June? Yes 3¢ 4¢ $9 $12 +$3 (+33%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 48¢ 46¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-5%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-10%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Up 56¢ 60¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+8%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$3 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $36 +$11 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $41 +$11 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +14%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $10 −$2 -18%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? Jun 12 $10 +$1 +8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $10 +$5 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$4 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$4 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $50 +$50 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +25%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $11 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +53%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $55 +$45 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 10 $16 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 10 $10 −$9 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 10 $21 +$5 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 10 $36 +$6 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 10 $36 −$3 -7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $72 +$20 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 10 $16 +$7 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$3 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 09 $16 −$6 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 09 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 09 $21 +$9 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 09 $16 −$4 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 09 $26 −$10 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 09 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 09 $13 −$3 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 09 $10 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 09 $5 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 09 $10 +$2 +20%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $111 −$55 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 09 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 08 $7 +$2 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 08 $21 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 08 $16 −$6 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 07 $41 +$10 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 07 $24 −$4 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 07 $5 −$5 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% −$919
sports 3% −$20
other 2% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $9 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 58¢ $10 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $26 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET SELL Up 57¢ $6 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET SELL Down 35¢ $0 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET SELL Down 32¢ $3 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET SELL Down 32¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET SELL Up 65¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET SELL Down 78¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $32 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET SELL Up 63¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET SELL Up 70¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET SELL Up 68¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET SELL Up 24¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-17.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 97 +0.8% -8.8% 65% 62% -6.9%
≤30d 366 -8.5% -17.2% 58% 51% -18.9%
≤90d 366 -8.5% -17.2% 58% 51% -18.9%
all 366 -8.5% -17.2% 58% 51% -18.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover72.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.2% 51% -18.9%
10% ← realistic here -25.1% 36% -26.7%
15% -32.3% 24% -33.8%
20% -39.0% 14% -40.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $328.54 · official $327.97 (match) · 1361 history records