Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:26:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E9
0xe9f6…f7e6
other · 566 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$691 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$744 · open +$53
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge
Net worth$243
Realized−$744
Unrealized+$53
Win rate (resolved)79%
Wins / losses439 / 116
Whale WR (big bets)40%
Est. fees paid−$37
Open positions11
Markets (closed)555 / 566
History coverage188d
Avg bet$264
Trades / day5.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit74%
Chart Positions 11 History 555 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$104
7 days−$767
14 days−$772
30 days−$823
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 9z 36¢ $17 $97 +$79 (+456%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins 55¢ 56¢ $25 $25 +$0 (+1%)
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Switzerland 31¢ 30¢ $25 $24 −$0 (-2%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Bilibili Gaming 93¢ 92¢ $24 $24 −$0 (-2%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 24¢ 22¢ $25 $23 −$2 (-6%)
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? No 51¢ 55¢ $15 $16 +$1 (+7%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Bilibili Gaming 82¢ 81¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-1%)
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Karmine Corp Blue 80¢ 90¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+13%)
Will Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? No 100¢ 78¢ $7 $5 −$1 (-22%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? No 48¢ 50¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+3%)
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Spirit 49¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Jun 12 $10 +$3 +29%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $25 +$32 +128%
Huergo/Radisic vs. Gorgodze/Karamoko: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $5 +$1 +13%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $21 +$50 +241%
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $25 +$28 +112%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $48 −$48 -100%
Borges vs. Cilic: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 12 $13 +$1 +5%
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $15 −$10 -71%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $85 −$27 -32%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $25 +$6 +26%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $23 +$31 +132%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $24 +$24 +97%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $25 +$19 +76%
Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $24 +$16 +65%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $25 +$15 +60%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $18 +$20 +112%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $5 +$6 +119%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Jun 11 $25 +$7 +29%
ITF Cuiaba: Giovana Schincariol Delatorre Barbosa vs Carolina Alves Jun 11 $24 +$5 +22%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $25 −$25 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $47 −$42 -90%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Jun 11 $5 +$2 +42%
LoL: Partizan Sangal vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $25 −$25 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $25 +$22 +86%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $25 +$13 +52%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $25 −$25 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $18 +$10 +53%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Grêmio Novorizontino win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $4 +$1 +28%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: Both Teams to Score Jun 10 $10 +$1 +10%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $10 +$3 +28%
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 1.5 Jun 10 $10 +$2 +16%
Exact Score: Philippines 1 - 0 Myanmar? Jun 09 $5 $0 +0%
Will Philippines win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $109 +$26 +24%
Will Indonesia vs. Mozambique end in a draw? Jun 09 $120 −$120 -100%
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 1.5 Jun 08 $120 +$13 +11%
France leading at halftime? Jun 08 $63 +$5 +9%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $100 −$35 -35%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 75% −$64
crypto 12% $0
tech 5% +$5
culture 4% −$4
weather 2% −$1
sports 2% −$629
world 0% +$2
politics 0% +$1
economics 0% $0
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $5 9m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $5 9m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $5 9m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $5 9m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $5 9m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z $5 32m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z $5 33m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z $4 34m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z $5 34m
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) BUY Switzerland 31¢ $25 59m
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Spirit 49¢ $20 1h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Spirit 50¢ $1 1h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Spirit 50¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner SELL BetBoom Team 100¢ $57 1h
Will Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 RBC Ca BUY No 100¢ $7 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 43¢ $9 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 44¢ $16 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner SELL BetBoom Team 100¢ $71 2h
Huergo/Radisic vs. Gorgodze/Karamoko: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Over 88¢ $5 3h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 100¢ $53 3h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 29¢ $16 4h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 29¢ $5 4h
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 21¢ $5 5h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 21¢ $5 5h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 21¢ $1 5h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 21¢ $0 5h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 21¢ $0 5h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 21¢ $3 5h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 21¢ $1 5h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 21¢ $5 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-10.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 74 -18.0% -25.8% 47% 38% -36.6%
≤30d 118 -11.1% -19.6% 56% 25% -31.3%
≤90d 246 -3.5% -12.7% 78% 14% -13.0%
all 555 -1.4% -10.8% 79% 6% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.8% 6% -10.0%
10% -19.3% 5% -18.6%
15% -27.1% 3% -26.5%
20% -34.3% 3% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $243.10 · official $242.66 (match) · 1460 history records