Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T01:49:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3.5
score
E9 0xe9e3…dd61 other 5 markets active 2h ago coverage 1d
RISKYcopy with care ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable! high turnover
Total PnL +$93 (+8%) realized +$93 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +41% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +8% what you keep after slip
Net edge+8%after slip
Net WR80%break-even
Win rate80%4W / 1L
Drawdown15%max
Avg bet$226per market
Trades / day26.3pace
Kalshi-fit20%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
other 86% +$243
crypto 14% +$83
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +80%
net ROI/market (all)+27.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 +40.7% +27.3% 80% 80% +16.7%
≤30d 5 +40.7% +27.3% 80% 80% +16.7%
≤90d 5 +40.7% +27.3% 80% 80% +16.7%
all 5 +40.7% +27.3% 80% 80% +16.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover26.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +27.3% 80% +16.7%
10% ← realistic here +15.1% 60% +5.5%
15% +4.0% 60% -4.7%
20% -6.2% 40% -14.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 47% · top 2 70% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +29% too few recent
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +41% · $-wt +29% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
7.4 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$96 vs −$58 · ×1.66 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×6.66 per $1 lost it wins $6.66
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$93
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses4 / 1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)5 / 5
History coverage1d
Avg bet$226
Trades / day26.3
Drawdown15%
Kalshi-fit20%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 5 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
BNB Up or Down - June 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 23 $439 −$58 -13%
BNB Up or Down - June 22, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 22 $194 +$179 +92%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 22 $154 +$83 +54%
BNB Up or Down - June 22, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 22 $162 +$33 +20%
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 21 $179 +$89 +49%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
BNB Up or Down - June 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $52 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $104 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $25 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $25 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $51 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $25 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $25 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $25 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $51 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $26 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 22, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $13 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 22, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $51 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 22, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $26 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 22, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $26 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 22, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $26 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 22, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $26 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $25 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 22, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $26 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $26 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $26 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $51 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $26 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $26 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 22, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 22, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 22, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $25 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 22, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $51 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 22, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $51 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 22, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $25 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 44 history records