Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:01:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E9
0xe9e1…acdf
other · 5 markets active 1h ago
1.5score
+$0 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$0 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized+$0
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses2 / 2
Open positions1
Markets (closed)4 / 5
History coverage2d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day2.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit0%
Chart Positions 1 History 4 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 27¢ 26¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 57¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -99%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $1 +$1 +105%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1 +$2 +158%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 27¢ $1 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $2 10h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 28h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $1 2d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $3 2d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $1 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)+4.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +15.8% +4.7% 50% 50% -15.3%
≤30d 4 +15.8% +4.7% 50% 50% -15.3%
≤90d 4 +15.8% +4.7% 50% 50% -15.3%
all 4 +15.8% +4.7% 50% 50% -15.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +4.7% 50% -15.3%
10% -5.3% 50% -23.4%
15% -14.4% 50% -30.8%
20% -22.8% 50% -37.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.98 · official $0.98 (match) · 7 history records