Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T00:42:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E9
0xe9df…2fea
other · 10 markets active 1h ago
4.0score
+$101 +36%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$102 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$99
Realized+$102
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)78%
Wins / losses7 / 2
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)9 / 10
History coverage2d
Avg bet$28
Trades / day9.4
Drawdown39%
Kalshi-fit50%
Chart Positions 1 History 9 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$102
7 days+$102
14 days+$102
30 days+$102
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 63¢ 62¢ $100 $99 −$1 (-1%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 31¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $32 +$34 +105%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $51 −$44 -86%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in First Half Jun 13 $16 +$72 +442%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $10 +$21 +209%
Switzerland to score first vs. Qatar? Jun 13 $15 +$1 +6%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $20 +$11 +52%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $10 +$3 +29%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $14 +$14 +100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 70% −$30
sports 30% +$131
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +67%
net ROI/market (all)+66.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 +84.1% +66.5% 78% 67% +41.8%
≤30d 9 +84.1% +66.5% 78% 67% +41.8%
≤90d 9 +84.1% +66.5% 78% 67% +41.8%
all 9 +84.1% +66.5% 78% 67% +41.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +66.5% 67% +41.8%
10% +50.6% 67% +28.3%
15% +36.0% 56% +15.9%
20% +22.7% 56% +4.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $99.21 · official $99.21 (match) · 23 history records