Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T11:00:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E9
0xe9d1…6194
sports · 588 markets active 0h ago
4.0score
+$306 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$240 · open +$15
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Net worth$86
Realized+$240
Unrealized+$15
Win rate (resolved)77%
Wins / losses449 / 136
Whale WR (big bets)41%
Est. fees paid−$74
Open positions3
Markets (closed)585 / 588
History coverage191d
Avg bet$262
Trades / day5.7
Drawdown58%
Kalshi-fit78%
Chart Positions 3 History 585 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$43
7 days+$211
14 days+$165
30 days+$175
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner T1 50¢ 100¢ $33 $65 +$33 (+100%)
ITF Monastir: Dominick Mosejczuk vs Cesar Bouchelaghem Cesar Bouchelaghem 51¢ 53¢ $20 $21 +$1 (+5%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner T1 36¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $60 −$38 -63%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $85 −$5 -6%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo Jun 14 $37 −$2 -4%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $24 −$1 -6%
Türkiye to score first vs. Australia? Jun 14 $49 −$49 -100%
Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $48 −$48 -100%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $49 +$12 +24%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $49 −$44 -89%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $49 −$30 -61%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $73 +$6 +8%
Spread: Spurs (-7.5) Jun 14 $98 +$66 +67%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $48 −$48 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $39 +$85 +218%
Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $10 +$10 +105%
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 112.5 Jun 14 $50 +$35 +70%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $50 +$17 +34%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $99 +$52 +52%
Brazil to score first vs. Morocco? Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $83 −$29 -35%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $69 +$29 +43%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Switzerland leading at halftime? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $61 +$50 +81%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $85 +$37 +43%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $50 +$1 +1%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $5 +$6 +113%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $21 +$13 +60%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $38 +$39 +103%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $48 −$48 -100%
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Gr Jun 13 $39 +$105 +269%
Taborda vs. Rivera: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Taborda vs. Rivera: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $50 −$2 -3%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $98 +$11 +11%
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5 Jun 13 $10 −$1 -8%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $24 +$14 +58%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $120 −$28 -24%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $49 +$3 +7%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $49 +$14 +29%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $179 −$12 -7%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $50 +$10 +20%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $38 +$1 +2%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $10 +$72 +716%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Jun 13 $9 +$1 +6%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Jun 13 $20 −$1 -5%
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $51 −$8 -16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 75% +$110
crypto 12% +$9
tech 4% −$59
sports 4% +$211
culture 3% +$3
politics 1% −$3
weather 1% −$8
world 0% −$8
finance 0% $0
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
ITF Monastir: Dominick Mosejczuk vs Cesar Bouchelaghem BUY Cesar Bouchelaghem 58¢ $5 7m
ITF Monastir: Dominick Mosejczuk vs Cesar Bouchelaghem BUY Cesar Bouchelaghem 48¢ $5 9m
ITF Monastir: Dominick Mosejczuk vs Cesar Bouchelaghem BUY Cesar Bouchelaghem 50¢ $5 9m
ITF Monastir: Dominick Mosejczuk vs Cesar Bouchelaghem BUY Cesar Bouchelaghem 48¢ $5 10m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 36¢ $10 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 36¢ $10 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 50¢ $33 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 48¢ $42 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 54¢ $49 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 33¢ $10 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner SELL Gen.G 61¢ $22 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 70¢ $19 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 67¢ $21 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 67¢ $10 3h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo SELL Natus Vincere 57¢ $35 4h
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Legacy 39¢ $23 4h
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 40¢ $24 4h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Natus Vincere 58¢ $37 4h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL No 99¢ $81 5h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 70¢ $61 5h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 SELL Over $5 5h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 20¢ $19 5h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 55¢ $49 6h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 44¢ $36 7h
Spread: Spurs (-7.5) SELL Knicks 100¢ $164 7h
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 93¢ $111 7h
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 36¢ $13 7h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 19¢ $10 8h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 26¢ $15 8h
Spread: Spurs (-7.5) BUY Knicks 59¢ $49 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)-8.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 99 +7.6% -2.7% 51% 42% -4.9%
≤30d 163 -0.7% -10.2% 55% 34% -7.7%
≤90d 282 +0.9% -8.7% 73% 22% -8.7%
all 585 +0.8% -8.8% 77% 11% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.8% 11% -9.4%
10% -17.5% 7% -18.1%
15% -25.5% 6% -26.0%
20% -32.8% 5% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $86.00 · official $86.00 (match) · 1565 history records