Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T04:42:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E9 0xe9d1…d5bb sports 34 markets active 7d ago coverage 19d
TRAPdo not copy sports specialist
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$160 (-5%) realized −$160 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -12% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR21%break-even
Win rate53%18W / 16L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$94per market
Trades / day4.0pace
Fees−$37est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$199
14 days−$148
30 days−$197
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% −$197
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-20.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 -56.3% -60.5% 20% 0% -63.1%
≤30d 34 -12.5% -20.8% 53% 21% -15.1%
≤90d 34 -12.5% -20.8% 53% 21% -15.1%
all 34 -12.5% -20.8% 53% 21% -15.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover4.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -20.8% 21% -15.1%
10% -28.4% 9% -23.2%
15% -35.3% 3% -30.6%
20% -41.6% 3% -37.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 21% · top 2 34% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
61% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -12% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -4% → late -21% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$9 vs −$23 · ×0.41 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.46 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

19d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$160
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses18 / 16
Est. fees paid−$37
Open positions0
Markets (closed)34 / 34
History coverage19d
Avg bet$94
Trades / day4.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 34 Trades
no open positions (4 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Libema Open: Thijs Boogaard vs Yibing Wu Jun 10 $61 −$61 -99%
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Botic van de Zandschulp Jun 10 $64 −$2 -4%
Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Masked Regime (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series Jun 10 $60 +$2 +4%
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO3) - As Jun 10 $80 −$80 -99%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $71 −$58 -82%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 10 $16 −$16 -98%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyries Jun 10 $200 −$45 -23%
Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx Jun 10 $100 +$16 +16%
HSBC Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Francesca Jones Jun 09 $44 +$2 +4%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Maddison Inglis Jun 09 $100 +$18 +18%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Anna Blinkova Jun 09 $100 +$2 +2%
Libema Open: Greet Minnen vs Janice Tjen Jun 09 $100 +$3 +3%
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Weibo Gaming Youth Team (BO3) - Asia Jun 09 $100 +$6 +6%
Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces Jun 09 $100 +$4 +4%
Indiana Fever vs. Washington Mystics Jun 09 $100 −$4 -4%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 08 $337 +$11 +3%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $203 −$9 -4%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 08 $222 −$3 -1%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $84 −$6 -7%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs Jun 07 $201 +$11 +6%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 07 $101 +$35 +34%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $184 −$9 -5%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Jun 07 $49 +$13 +27%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 07 $100 +$22 +22%
Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Rebeka Masarova Jun 06 $50 −$1 -2%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In May 24 $7 −$7 -99%
Geneva Open: Mariano Navone vs Learner Tien May 23 $50 −$43 -86%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 23 $45 +$5 +12%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 23 $45 $0 -0%
Chicago White Sox vs. San Francisco Giants May 23 $44 +$1 +2%
Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle Storm May 23 $41 +$3 +7%
Thunder vs. Spurs May 23 $60 −$17 -29%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifi May 22 $19 +$10 +52%
LoL: L Guide Gaming vs Arneb (BO3) - LJL Regular Season May 22 $48 +$1 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Libema Open: Thijs Boogaard vs Yibing Wu BUY Yibing Wu 76¢ $61 6d
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Botic van de Zandschulp SELL Tallon Griekspoor 82¢ $62 6d
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Botic van de Zandschulp BUY Tallon Griekspoor 84¢ $64 6d
Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Masked Regime (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series SELL Ground Zero 99¢ $63 6d
Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Masked Regime (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series BUY Ground Zero 95¢ $60 6d
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO3) - As BUY EDward Gaming Youth Team 80¢ $80 6d
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres SELL San Diego Padres 13¢ $13 6d
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres BUY San Diego Padres 70¢ $71 6d
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics BUY Milwaukee Brewers 28¢ $16 7d
Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyries SELL Golden State Valkyries 74¢ $155 7d
Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyries BUY Golden State Valkyries 97¢ $100 7d
Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyries BUY Golden State Valkyries 93¢ $100 7d
Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx SELL Minnesota Lynx 100¢ $116 7d
Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx BUY Minnesota Lynx 86¢ $100 7d
HSBC Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Francesca Jones SELL Laura Siegemund 99¢ $46 7d
HSBC Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Francesca Jones BUY Laura Siegemund 95¢ $44 7d
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Maddison Inglis SELL Sorana Cirstea 100¢ $119 7d
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Anna Blinkova SELL Emma Raducanu 100¢ $102 7d
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Anna Blinkova BUY Emma Raducanu 98¢ $100 7d
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Maddison Inglis BUY Sorana Cirstea 84¢ $100 7d
Libema Open: Greet Minnen vs Janice Tjen SELL Greet Minnen 100¢ $103 7d
Libema Open: Greet Minnen vs Janice Tjen BUY Greet Minnen 97¢ $100 7d
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Weibo Gaming Youth Team (BO3) - Asia SELL Nongshim Esports Academy 100¢ $106 7d
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Weibo Gaming Youth Team (BO3) - Asia BUY Nongshim Esports Academy 94¢ $100 7d
Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces SELL Las Vegas Aces 100¢ $1 8d
Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces SELL Las Vegas Aces 100¢ $103 8d
Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces BUY Las Vegas Aces 96¢ $100 8d
Indiana Fever vs. Washington Mystics SELL Indiana Fever 91¢ $96 8d
Indiana Fever vs. Washington Mystics BUY Indiana Fever 94¢ $100 8d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 100¢ $165 8d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 77 history records