trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -5.6% | -14.6% | 0% | 0% | -14.6% |
| ≤30d | 3 | +6.3% | -3.8% | 67% | 33% | -1.3% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -0.7% | -10.1% | 69% | 62% | -15.0% |
| all | 13 | -0.7% | -10.1% | 69% | 62% | -15.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.1% | 62% | -15.0% |
| 10% | -18.7% | 15% | -23.1% |
| 15% | -26.6% | 8% | -30.5% |
| 20% | -33.8% | 8% | -37.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | No | 84¢ | 80¢ | $150 | $143 | −$7 (-5%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 29 | $55 | −$3 | -6% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | Jun 02 | $224 | +$19 | +8% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | May 30 | $140 | +$22 | +16% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3? | May 28 | $131 | −$4 | -3% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026? | May 13 | $39 | −$39 | -100% |
| Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026? | May 01 | $112 | −$112 | -100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Apr 26 | $89 | +$11 | +13% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026? | Apr 26 | $17 | +$3 | +16% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? | Apr 25 | $12 | +$7 | +53% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | Apr 25 | $36 | +$6 | +16% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026? | Apr 25 | $7 | +$2 | +35% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Apr 22 | $30 | +$6 | +21% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | Apr 21 | $99 | +$22 | +22% |