Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T06:09:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E9 0xe9bd…e323 crypto 1095 markets active 3d ago coverage 19d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 18d only
✗ bot/MM pace (131 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$41 (-0%) realized −$41 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR37%break-even
Win rate78%857W / 238L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$17per market
Trades / day131.2pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days+$27
14 days−$364
30 days−$233
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$235
sports 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (131 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-8.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 128 -0.3% -9.8% 90% 17% -7.8%
≤30d 1095 +1.3% -8.4% 78% 37% -10.6%
≤90d 1095 +1.3% -8.4% 78% 37% -10.6%
all 1095 +1.3% -8.4% 78% 37% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover131.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.4% 37% -10.6%
10% ← realistic here -17.1% 21% -19.2%
15% -25.2% 12% -27.0%
20% -32.5% 7% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
50% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +3% → late -0% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.1 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$10 · ×0.25 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.91 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

19d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$41
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)78%
Wins / losses857 / 238
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1095 / 1095
History coverage19d ⚠
Avg bet$17
Trades / day131.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1095 Trades
no open positions (34 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $14 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $14 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $49 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $19 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $14 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $14 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $14 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$11 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $92 +$14 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $42 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $35 +$5 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $106 +$12 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $43 −$27 -63%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $7 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $7 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $7 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $6 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $7 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $7 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $7 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $3 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records