Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T16:23:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E9 0xe9b9…b069 crypto 13 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover! limited sample (<25 closed)
Total PnL −$61 (-24%) realized −$61 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -76% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -81% what you keep after slip
Net edge-81%after slip
Net WR15%break-even
Win rate15%2W / 11L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$20per market
Trades / day34.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$245
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +15%
net ROI/market (all)-78.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 13 -75.9% -78.2% 15% 15% -98.8%
≤30d 13 -75.9% -78.2% 15% 15% -98.8%
≤90d 13 -75.9% -78.2% 15% 15% -98.8%
all 13 -75.9% -78.2% 15% 15% -98.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover34.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -78.2% 15% -98.8%
10% ← realistic here -80.3% 15% -98.9%
15% -82.2% 15% -99.0%
20% -83.9% 8% -99.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 61% · top 2 100% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -99% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -76% · $-wt -99% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -48% → late -100% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.5 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$22 · ×0.03 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.0 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$61
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)15%
Wins / losses2 / 11
Open positions0
Markets (closed)13 / 13
History coverage1d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day34.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 13 Trades
no open positions (10 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 24 $126 −$122 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 24 $65 −$63 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 24 $32 −$31 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 24 $15 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 24 $7 −$7 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 24 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 24 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 24 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 24 $1 +$1 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 24 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 23 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 23 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 23 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $32 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET SELL Up 83¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 35 history records