Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T11:50:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E9
0xe9b7…ebe9
crypto · 1060 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$6,099 -67%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$925 · open −$19
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$74
Realized−$925
Unrealized−$19
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses598 / 549
Open positions9
Markets (closed)1147 / 1060
History coverage49d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day60.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 9 History 1147 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$722
7 days−$718
14 days−$718
30 days−$718
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $45 $46 +$1 (+2%)
Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026? Yes 6¢ 8¢ $11 $14 +$3 (+25%)
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+19%)
Will Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $7 $3 −$4 (-58%)
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-24%)
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-30%)
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $3 $2 −$2 (-50%)
Ben Pasternak jailed? Yes 24¢ 7¢ $5 $1 −$3 (-70%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $13 $1 −$12 (-94%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April? Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$15 -138%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$7 -151%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$11 -394%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$13 -427%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$2 -181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$4 -521%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$4 -286%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April? Jun 14 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$19 -1495%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$15 -444%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 8, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$3 -123%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $17 −$24 -140%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 8, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 8, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $42 −$42 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 8PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 8, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$6 -231%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -64%
Solana Up or Down - April 19, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$110
other 1% −$19
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $9 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $10 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $9 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $13 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $8 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-12.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 963 -2.8% -12.0% 53% 53% -17.8%
≤30d 963 -2.8% -12.0% 53% 53% -17.8%
≤90d 1147 -2.7% -12.0% 52% 52% -16.4%
all 1147 -2.7% -12.0% 52% 52% -16.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover60.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.0% 52% -16.4%
10% ← realistic here -20.4% 51% -24.4%
15% -28.1% 48% -31.7%
20% -35.1% 43% -38.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $74.00 · official $74.02 (match) · 3500 history records