Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T05:40:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.0
score
E9 0xe9b3…70f4 crypto 1356 markets active 1h ago coverage 52d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 51d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$224 (+3%) realized +$224 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -19% what you keep after slip
Net edge-19%after slip
Net WR53%break-even
Win rate53%723W / 633L
Drawdown93%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day38.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$450
7 days−$73
14 days−$209
30 days−$267
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$146
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-5.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 237 -1.1% -10.6% 51% 51% -13.1%
≤30d 1091 -6.7% -15.6% 48% 48% -13.4%
≤90d 1356 +4.6% -5.3% 53% 53% -7.8%
all 1356 +4.6% -5.3% 53% 53% -7.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover38.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.3% 53% -7.8%
10% ← realistic here -14.4% 53% -16.6%
15% -22.7% 53% -24.7%
20% -30.2% 53% -32.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 0% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +5% · $-wt +2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +29% → late -20% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$6 · ×0.91 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.04 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

52d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$224
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses723 / 633
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1356 / 1356
History coverage52d ⚠
Avg bet$6
Trades / day38.4
Drawdown93%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1356 Trades
no open positions (77 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 16 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 16 $8 +$7 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 16 $7 +$6 +89%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 16 $7 +$6 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 15 $7 +$5 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 15 $6 +$6 +89%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$2 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$2 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 15 $7 +$6 +89%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$2 +89%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 15 $7 +$10 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$2 +89%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$2 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 15 $7 +$6 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 15 $7 +$6 +86%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$2 +89%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 15 $8 −$7 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$2 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 15 $7 +$7 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 15 $7 +$6 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 15 $7 +$6 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$2 +89%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$3 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $8 −$7 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$2 +89%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 15 $7 +$7 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 15 $9 −$8 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 15 $8 +$7 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$2 +89%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 15 $8 +$7 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 15 $7 +$6 +89%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $8 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $7 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $6 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $7 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $7 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $7 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $7 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $7 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $7 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $7 13h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 13h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $7 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $4 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $8 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records