trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -20.7% | -28.3% | 67% | 67% | -0.2% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -20.7% | -28.3% | 67% | 67% | -0.2% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -7.7% | -16.4% | 58% | 58% | +3.9% |
| all | 25 | -22.0% | -29.4% | 52% | 36% | +16.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -29.4% | 36% | +16.3% |
| 10% | -36.2% | 28% | +5.2% |
| 15% | -42.4% | 24% | -5.0% |
| 20% | -48.0% | 12% | -14.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Discord’s market cap be between $20B and $25B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 16¢ | 0¢ | $66 | $1 | −$65 (-98%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brazil vs. Haiti: Both Teams to Score | Jun 20 | $101 | +$27 | +26% |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX? | Jun 19 | $629 | +$71 | +11% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $21 | −$20 | -97% |
| LoL: Shifters vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winner | Apr 30 | $51 | −$50 | -99% |
| LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner | Apr 29 | $51 | −$48 | -95% |
| LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner | Apr 29 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Apr 29 | $151 | +$69 | +46% |
| LoL: Fnatic vs Shifters - Game 2 Winner | Apr 29 | $102 | +$130 | +128% |
| LoL: Fnatic vs Shifters (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playo | Apr 29 | $101 | +$59 | +58% |
| LoL: Natus Vincere vs Galions - Game 2 Winner | Apr 29 | $141 | +$54 | +38% |
| LoL: Team Vitality vs Solary (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier | Apr 28 | $9 | −$4 | -48% |
| LoL: G2 NORD vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - Prime League 1st Divisi | Apr 28 | $100 | +$44 | +44% |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair? | Feb 24 | $93 | +$6 | +7% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Jun | Feb 24 | $691 | +$972 | +141% |
| Will Andrés Ariel Robles Barrantes win the 2026 Costa Rican presidenti | Feb 01 | $68 | −$67 | -98% |
| Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican preside | Feb 01 | $29 | −$19 | -66% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January? | Jan 21 | $208 | +$38 | +18% |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? | Jan 15 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025? | Jan 12 | $293 | +$7 | +2% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decemb | Jan 03 | $9 | +$1 | +8% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025? | Dec 16 | $186 | −$144 | -78% |
| Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua? | Dec 16 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025? | Dec 16 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30? | Nov 18 | $341 | +$23 | +7% |
| US government shutdown by October 1? | Sep 30 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |