Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T14:26:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1.5
score
E9 0xe9b1…2131 crypto 52 markets active 1h ago coverage 8d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist
✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$6 (+1%) realized +$6 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -17% what you keep after slip
Net edge-17%after slip
Net WR48%break-even
Win rate62%30W / 18L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$15per market
Trades / day7.6pace
Fees−$1est.
Kalshi-fit85%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$81
7 days+$54
14 days+$35
30 days+$35
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 78% +$46
other 14% −$11
sports 8% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-13.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 38 +3.7% -6.2% 71% 53% -2.7%
≤30d 48 -4.3% -13.4% 62% 48% -5.5%
≤90d 48 -4.3% -13.4% 62% 48% -5.5%
all 48 -4.3% -13.4% 62% 48% -5.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover7.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.4% 48% -5.5%
10% -21.7% 44% -14.5%
15% -29.3% 38% -22.8%
20% -36.2% 23% -30.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 13% · top 2 24% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
23% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -4% · $-wt +4% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -7% → late -1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$7 vs −$9 · ×0.73 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.21 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

8d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$6
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses30 / 18
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)48 / 52
History coverage8d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day7.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit85%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 48 Trades
no open positions (18 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 24 $100 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 24 $111 +$10 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 24 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 24 $11 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 23 $10 +$4 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 23 $101 +$9 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 23 $21 +$26 +126%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 23 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 23 $20 +$5 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 23 $10 +$9 +86%
Jordan vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score AND Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 2. Jun 23 $14 +$21 +149%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 22 $10 −$10 -97%
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21? Jun 22 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? Jun 21 $12 +$5 +44%
Exact Score: Tunisia 0 - 2 Japan? Jun 21 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? Jun 21 $25 −$25 -99%
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? Jun 20 $40 +$20 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 20 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 20 $10 +$8 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 20 $10 +$2 +23%
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Jun 20 $20 −$20 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 19 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 19 $10 +$9 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 19 $10 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 19 $10 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 19 $10 +$15 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 19 $7 +$3 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 19 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 19 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 19 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 19 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 19 $10 +$7 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 19 $10 +$4 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 19 $4 +$2 +48%
Mexico to score first vs. Korea Republic? Jun 19 $5 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 18 $4 $0 +8%
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? Jun 18 $10 +$4 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 17 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 17 $11 −$10 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 17 $7 +$13 +185%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$5 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 17 $5 +$3 +55%
Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score Jun 17 $5 −$5 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET SELL Up 29¢ $12 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $11 9h
Colombia vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score AND Colombia vs. DR Congo: BUY 36¢ $15 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $10 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $101 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $10 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $10 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $10 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $10 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $10 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $10 28h
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Uzbekistan? AND Exact Score: England 2 - 0 BUY 3¢ $4 32h
Jordan vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score AND Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 2. BUY 40¢ $14 36h
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw? AND Will Norway win on 2026-06- BUY 3¢ $5 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $10 2d
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21? BUY Yes 43¢ $10 2d
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? AND Wi BUY 32¢ $2 2d
Exact Score: Tunisia 0 - 2 Japan? BUY Yes 16¢ $5 3d
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? BUY Yes 69¢ $12 3d
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? BUY Yes 68¢ $25 3d
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? BUY Yes 66¢ $40 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $10 4d
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 72¢ $20 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $10 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 85 history records