Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:13:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E9
0xe9af…b497
sports · 378 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$67 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$68 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$42
Realized−$68
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses166 / 183
Est. fees paid−$10
Open positions29
Markets (closed)349 / 378
History coverage23d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day42.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit81%
Chart Positions 29 History 349 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$52
14 days−$52
30 days−$68
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? No 35¢ 36¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+4%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? No 36¢ 36¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+0%)
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5 Over 49¢ 48¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? Yes 60¢ 61¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+2%)
Spread: Japan (-2.5) Tunisia 89¢ 88¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21? No 89¢ 88¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? No 33¢ 30¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-8%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Under 42¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$1 (+137%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score Yes 31¢ 32¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+5%)
Spread: Czechia (-1.5) South Africa 69¢ 72¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Knicks 50¢ 52¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Spread: Uruguay (-1.5) Uruguay 40¢ 40¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Qatar 43¢ 44¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Yes 51¢ 52¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? No 79¢ 80¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23? No 93¢ 92¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23? No 90¢ 90¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? No 84¢ 84¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5 Under 73¢ 72¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 1.5 Under 61¢ 60¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5 Under 52¢ 52¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score No 52¢ 52¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? No 30¢ 30¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 0.5 Under 25¢ 24¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Spread: Canada (-1.5) Bosnia and Herzegovina 74¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+35%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 -7%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $3 $0 -5%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 $0 -5%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Draw at halftime? Jun 12 $1 $0 -11%
Canada leading at halftime? Jun 12 $1 +$1 +50%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 -6%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 -6%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $1 $0 -5%
Spread: Cabo Verde (-1.5) Jun 12 $1 $0 -1%
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21? Jun 12 $1 $0 -2%
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 $0 -1%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 12 $1 $0 +0%
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Spread: United States (-2.5) Jun 12 $1 $0 -2%
ITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Sara Saito Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Jun 12 $2 $0 -0%
Spread: Curaçao (-1.5) Jun 12 $1 $0 -1%
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever Jun 12 $1 $0 +17%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $1 $0 -9%
Spread: United States (-1.5) Jun 12 $1 $0 -3%
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -75%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $1 −$1 -84%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $2 $0 -21%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $1 $0 -9%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $5 $0 +2%
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Jun 11 $4 $0 +8%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $4 −$2 -42%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $1 $0 -6%
Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-5.5) Jun 11 $1 +$2 +152%
Libema Open: Thijs Boogaard vs Yibing Wu Jun 10 $2 $0 -15%
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergs Jun 10 $1 −$1 -99%
ITF kiseljak: Josip Simundza vs Yannick Baluska Jun 10 $1 $0 +0%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 10 $1 $0 +8%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $1 +$1 +134%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyries Jun 10 $1 $0 +7%
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-8.5) Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $1 +$1 +76%
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-3.5) Jun 10 $1 $0 -22%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 10 $2 +$1 +42%
Spread: Argentina (-1.5) Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 10 $1 $0 +11%
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5 Jun 10 $1 +$1 +65%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 4.5 Jun 10 $2 $0 +20%
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 09 $1 $0 -3%
Will France win on 2026-06-08? Jun 09 $1 $0 +2%
Libema Open: Mia Pohankova vs Clara Tauson Jun 09 $1 $0 +31%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 77% −$34
other 21% −$30
crypto 1% −$2
world 0% $0
tech 0% +$1
weather 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 0.5 BUY Under 25¢ $1 18m
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL No 10¢ $0 18m
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL No 18¢ $1 20m
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY No 22¢ $1 21m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 SELL Under 33¢ $1 22m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 34¢ $1 23m
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 69¢ $1 24m
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 32¢ $0 51m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 63¢ $0 53m
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $1 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 70¢ $1 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 70¢ $0 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 71¢ $1 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 24¢ $0 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 24¢ $1 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 25¢ $1 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 24¢ $0 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 24¢ $0 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $1 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score SELL No 30¢ $1 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY No 31¢ $1 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 0.5 SELL Under 28¢ $1 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 53¢ $0 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 SELL Under 12¢ $0 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 41¢ $0 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 0.5 BUY Under 23¢ $1 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 42¢ $1 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 SELL Under 12¢ $1 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score SELL No 22¢ $1 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY No 22¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-18.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 295 -8.5% -17.2% 48% 33% -17.0%
≤30d 349 -10.3% -18.8% 48% 33% -18.2%
≤90d 349 -10.3% -18.8% 48% 33% -18.2%
all 349 -10.3% -18.8% 48% 33% -18.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover42.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.8% 33% -18.2%
10% ← realistic here -26.6% 28% -26.0%
15% -33.7% 21% -33.2%
20% -40.2% 16% -39.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $41.54 · official $39.80 · 1166 history records