Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T12:58:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1.0
score
E9 0xe9ac…8de4 sports 1064 markets active 0h ago coverage 58d
TRAPdo not copy sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 58d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$1,202 (-1%) realized −$1,175 · open −$27
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -21% what you keep after slip
Net edge-21%after slip
Net WR52%break-even
Win rate53%553W / 493L
Whale WR49%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$120per market
Trades / day38.5pace
Fees−$1,627est.
Kalshi-fit87%portable
Net worth$190now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,485
7 days+$1,701
14 days+$1,636
30 days−$1,811
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 92% −$3,021
other 8% +$116
world 0% −$12
crypto 0% −$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-7.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 182 +7.9% -2.4% 58% 56% +41.1%
≤30d 651 +3.9% -6.0% 54% 53% -18.5%
≤90d 1046 +2.3% -7.5% 53% 52% -11.6%
all 1046 +2.3% -7.5% 53% 52% -11.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover38.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.5% 52% -11.6%
10% ← realistic here -16.3% 50% -20.0%
15% -24.4% 42% -27.8%
20% -31.8% 36% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
2% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +2% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 49% (≥$500) neutral
Persistence
early -1% → late +5% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.1 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$100 vs −$118 · ×0.85 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.95 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

58d coverage
Net worth$190
Realized−$1,175
Unrealized−$27
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses553 / 493
Whale WR (big bets)49%
Est. fees paid−$1,627
Open positions18
Markets (closed)1046 / 1064
History coverage58d ⚠
Avg bet$120
Trades / day38.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 18 History 1046 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Brescia: Elizara Yaneva vs Ekaterine Gorgodze Elizara Yaneva 79¢ 86¢ $51 $55 +$4 (+8%)
Grass Court Championships: Elina Svitolina vs Alexandra Eala Elina Svitolina 69¢ 68¢ $39 $38 −$0 (-1%)
Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5 Over 54¢ 54¢ $16 $16 −$0 (-1%)
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5 Over 51¢ 50¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-1%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? Yes 57¢ 56¢ $13 $13 −$0 (-1%)
Nottingham Open: Karolina Pliskova vs Talia Gibson Karolina Pliskova 58¢ 76¢ $8 $10 +$2 (+31%)
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Over 42¢ 42¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-1%)
Figueira Da Foz: Darja Vidmanova vs Jil Teichmann Darja Vidmanova 44¢ 100¢ $2 $5 +$3 (+127%)
Figueira Da Foz: Martyna Kubka vs Yeon-Woo Ku Martyna Kubka 47¢ 46¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? Yes 18¢ 18¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Spread: Brazil (-2.5) Haiti 47¢ 46¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Brazil (-2.5) Brazil 51¢ 54¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+5%)
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 76¢ 76¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Figueira Da Foz: Susan Bandecchi vs Alina Charaeva Susan Bandecchi 26¢ 19¢ $4 $3 −$1 (-27%)
HSBC Championships: Hamad Medjedovic vs Ugo Humbert Hamad Medjedovic 42¢ 42¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? No 36¢ 36¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
United States vs. Australia: O/U 1.5 Over 76¢ 76¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 76¢ 76¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Brescia: Elizara Yaneva vs Ekaterine Gorgodze Ekaterine Gorgodze 34¢ 14¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-57%)
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 1 Winner Leo Team 51¢ 10¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-80%)
Figueira Da Foz: Darja Vidmanova vs Jil Teichmann Jil Teichmann 49¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Nottingham Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Tatjana Maria Jun 19 $7 +$1 +20%
Grass Court Championships: Jessica Pegula vs Madison Keys Jun 19 $33 +$39 +120%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? Jun 19 $508 +$553 +109%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 19 $4 +$1 +25%
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Korea Republic O/U 1.5 Jun 19 $4 +$1 +32%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? Jun 19 $12 +$1 +6%
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5 Jun 19 $19 +$6 +33%
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 3.5 Jun 19 $9 +$2 +28%
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score Jun 19 $85 +$49 +58%
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5 Jun 19 $85 +$60 +70%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 19 $16 +$44 +276%
Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana Fever Jun 19 $7 +$7 +89%
Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees Jun 19 $72 −$21 -29%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? Jun 19 $27 +$6 +23%
Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw? Jun 19 $1 $0 +18%
Spread: Canada (-2.5) Jun 19 $3 −$3 -100%
Spread: Canada (-1.5) Jun 19 $6 −$6 -100%
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 3.5 Jun 19 $17 −$17 -100%
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 5.5 Jun 19 $27 −$20 -75%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5 Jun 18 $348 +$338 +97%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs Jun 18 $81 +$102 +126%
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 18 $3 $0 +14%
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Switzerland O/U 0.5 Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 18 $8 +$7 +88%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? Jun 18 $138 −$138 -100%
Hijikata vs. Lehecka: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 18 $1 +$1 +79%
HSBC Championships: Rinky Hijikata vs Jiri Lehecka Jun 18 $6 +$11 +188%
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 Jun 18 $1 $0 +23%
Spread: Czechia (-1.5) Jun 18 $1 $0 +31%
Parma: Marco Cecchinato vs Luca Van Assche Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? Jun 18 $11 −$6 -50%
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 18 $9 +$7 +77%
Grass Court Championships: Alexandra Eala vs Elena Rybakina Jun 18 $13 $0 +2%
Nottingham Open: Ann Li vs Taylah Preston Jun 18 $14 +$1 +8%
Figueira Da Foz: Jeline Vandromme vs Valentina Ryser Jun 18 $1 +$1 +48%
Brescia: Jennifer Ruggeri vs Mayar Sherif Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Grass Court Championships: Madison Keys vs Karolina Muchova Jun 18 $2 +$3 +129%
Nottingham Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Hannah Klugman Jun 18 $31 +$8 +28%
Halle Open: Ben Shelton vs Ethan Quinn Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Nottingham Open: Viktorija Golubic vs Zeynep Sonmez Jun 18 $15 +$8 +52%
Figueira Da Foz: Alina Korneeva vs Martyna Kubka Jun 18 $28 +$18 +63%
Poznan: Facundo Acosta vs Florian Broska Jun 18 $5 +$3 +57%
Nottingham Open: Karolina Pliskova vs Caty McNally Jun 18 $26 −$1 -6%
HSBC Championships: Corentin Moutet vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Jun 18 $4 +$2 +57%
Grass Court Championships: Linda Noskova vs Diane Parry Jun 18 $9 +$3 +36%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics Jun 18 $9 +$3 +27%
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? Jun 18 $7 +$3 +38%
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5 Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5 Jun 18 $6 −$6 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? BUY Yes 57¢ $1 2m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? BUY Yes 57¢ $4 2m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? BUY Yes 57¢ $1 2m
HSBC Championships: Hamad Medjedovic vs Ugo Humbert BUY Hamad Medjedovic 42¢ $3 3m
Figueira Da Foz: Susan Bandecchi vs Alina Charaeva BUY Susan Bandecchi 26¢ $4 14m
Nottingham Open: Karolina Pliskova vs Talia Gibson BUY Karolina Pliskova 58¢ $8 16m
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 42¢ $7 42m
Brescia: Elizara Yaneva vs Ekaterine Gorgodze BUY Ekaterine Gorgodze 34¢ $2 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? BUY Yes 57¢ $4 1h
Figueira Da Foz: Darja Vidmanova vs Jil Teichmann BUY Jil Teichmann 49¢ $15 1h
Figueira Da Foz: Darja Vidmanova vs Jil Teichmann BUY Jil Teichmann 49¢ $10 1h
Grass Court Championships: Elina Svitolina vs Alexandra Eala BUY Elina Svitolina 69¢ $39 1h
Spread: Brazil (-2.5) BUY Haiti 47¢ $2 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? BUY Yes 18¢ $3 1h
Figueira Da Foz: Martyna Kubka vs Yeon-Woo Ku BUY Martyna Kubka 47¢ $5 1h
Spread: Brazil (-2.5) BUY Haiti 47¢ $3 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? BUY Yes 18¢ $2 1h
Brescia: Elizara Yaneva vs Ekaterine Gorgodze BUY Elizara Yaneva 79¢ $50 1h
Brescia: Elizara Yaneva vs Ekaterine Gorgodze BUY Elizara Yaneva 76¢ $1 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? BUY Yes 57¢ $1 2h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? BUY Yes 57¢ $1 2h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? BUY Yes 57¢ $1 2h
Nottingham Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Tatjana Maria BUY Marie Bouzkova 83¢ $7 2h
Figueira Da Foz: Darja Vidmanova vs Jil Teichmann BUY Darja Vidmanova 44¢ $2 2h
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5 BUY Over 51¢ $16 2h
Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 54¢ $16 2h
Grass Court Championships: Jessica Pegula vs Madison Keys BUY Madison Keys 50¢ $4 3h
Grass Court Championships: Jessica Pegula vs Madison Keys BUY Jessica Pegula 47¢ $7 3h
Grass Court Championships: Jessica Pegula vs Madison Keys BUY Jessica Pegula 37¢ $20 3h
Grass Court Championships: Jessica Pegula vs Madison Keys BUY Jessica Pegula 53¢ $2 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $190.49 · official $195.57 · 3500 history records