Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T10:10:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E9 0xe9a9…e135 crypto 53 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (94 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$905 (-12%) realized −$905 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -29% what you keep after slip
Net edge-29%after slip
Net WR53%break-even
Win rate66%35W / 18L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$138per market
Trades / day94.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$659
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (94 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-16.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 53 -7.8% -16.6% 66% 53% -17.8%
≤30d 53 -7.8% -16.6% 66% 53% -17.8%
≤90d 53 -7.8% -16.6% 66% 53% -17.8%
all 53 -7.8% -16.6% 66% 53% -17.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover94.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.6% 53% -17.8%
10% ← realistic here -24.6% 38% -25.7%
15% -31.9% 25% -32.9%
20% -38.6% 17% -39.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 22% · top 2 36% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -9% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
20% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -8% · $-wt -9% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +24% → late -38% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$57 vs −$147 · ×0.39 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.75 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$905
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses35 / 18
Open positions0
Markets (closed)53 / 53
History coverage1d
Avg bet$138
Trades / day94.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 53 Trades
no open positions (6 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 24 $100 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 24 $152 +$30 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 24 $101 +$15 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 24 $101 +$17 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 24 $517 +$445 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 24 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 24 $714 +$265 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 24 $413 −$413 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 24 $205 −$24 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 24 $101 +$18 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 24 $101 +$15 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 24 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 24 $76 −$75 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 24 $75 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 24 $76 +$18 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 24 $76 +$22 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 24 $76 +$18 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 24 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 24 $102 −$102 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 24 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 24 $155 −$155 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 24 $206 −$206 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 24 $310 −$310 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 24 $310 −$310 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 24 $337 −$337 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 24 $414 −$414 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 24 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 24 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 24 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 24 $76 +$15 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 24 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 24 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 24 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 24 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 24 $51 +$34 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 24 $48 +$54 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 24 $103 +$79 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 24 $103 +$93 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 23 $156 +$181 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 23 $259 +$235 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 23 $155 +$120 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 23 $202 +$23 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 23 $402 +$27 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 23 $127 +$47 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 23 $51 +$16 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 23 $101 +$25 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 23 $103 +$82 +80%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $517 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $714 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $312 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET SELL Down 79¢ $173 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $101 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $101 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $100 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $76 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $75 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $76 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $76 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $76 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $76 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 153 history records