Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:41:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E9
0xe9a8…106d
other · 16 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$2 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ Small sample
Net worth$118
Realized−$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 1
Open positions15
Markets (closed)1 / 16
History coverage6d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day4.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit6%
Chart Positions 15 History 1 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$1
14 days−$1
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $19 $24 +$5 (+25%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 11¢ $20 $21 +$1 (+7%)
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $9 $9 −$0 (-1%)
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $7 $7 −$0 (-2%)
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $7 $7 −$0 (-2%)
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $7 $7 −$0 (-6%)
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $8 $6 −$2 (-25%)
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $5 $5 −$0 (-7%)
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $5 $5 −$0 (-8%)
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $5 $4 −$0 (-10%)
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $4 $4 −$0 (-4%)
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $5 $4 −$2 (-30%)
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $3 $3 −$0 (-6%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $3 $3 −$0 (-6%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $4 −$1 -24%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 85% −$6
crypto 15% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes $8 1h
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $3 12h
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes $3 12h
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes $4 16h
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes $5 16h
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes $3 23h
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes $5 23h
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes $4 23h
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes $4 23h
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes $5 39h
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes $3 39h
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes $5 39h
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes $3 4d
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 10¢ $2 4d
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes $7 4d
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes $3 5d
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes $10 5d
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes $11 5d
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 10¢ $16 5d
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes $13 5d
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes $7 5d
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes $5 5d
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes $5 5d
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes $5 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-31.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -23.9% -31.1% 0% 0% -31.1%
≤30d 1 -23.9% -31.1% 0% 0% -31.1%
≤90d 1 -23.9% -31.1% 0% 0% -31.1%
all 1 -23.9% -31.1% 0% 0% -31.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -31.1% 0% -31.1%
10% -37.7% 0% -37.7%
15% -43.7% 0% -43.7%
20% -49.3% 0% -49.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $118.07 · official $118.12 (match) · 29 history records