Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:58:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E9
0xe9a4…637f
crypto · 104 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
−$69 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$70 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$48
Realized−$70
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses66 / 24
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions14
Markets (closed)90 / 104
History coverage166d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day1.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 14 History 90 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$11
7 days+$11
14 days+$11
30 days+$11
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands O/U 2.5 Under 82¢ 80¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 3.5 Under 74¢ 74¢ $8 $7 −$0 (-1%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 0.5 Under 69¢ 68¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 Under 53¢ 52¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Curaçao? Yes 15¢ 14¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 3.5 Under 44¢ 42¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-6%)
Exact Score: Any Other Score? No 44¢ 44¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 0 Japan? Yes 13¢ 12¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-8%)
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 0 Curaçao? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-14%)
Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 1 Japan? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-6%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 0.5 Under 8¢ 8¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-6%)
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 1 Japan? Yes 16¢ 15¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-6%)
Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 0 Japan? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-6%)
Exact Score: Germany 1 - 0 Curaçao? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-7%)
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland? Jun 14 $5 +$3 +62%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $5 +$4 +79%
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $2 +$3 +152%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $1 +$3 +276%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Dec 31 $20 −$16 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Dec 31 $20 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Dec 31 $20 −$12 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Dec 31 $20 −$9 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Dec 31 $20 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Dec 31 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Dec 31 $20 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Dec 31 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Dec 31 $20 −$8 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Dec 31 $20 −$6 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Dec 31 $20 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Dec 31 $20 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Dec 31 $20 +$5 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Dec 31 $20 −$13 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Dec 31 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Dec 31 $35 −$32 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Dec 31 $20 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Dec 31 $20 −$8 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Dec 31 $20 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Dec 31 $20 −$5 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Dec 31 $20 +$5 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Dec 31 $10 +$2 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Dec 31 $10 −$5 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Dec 31 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Dec 31 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Dec 31 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Dec 31 $10 +$11 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Dec 31 $10 +$2 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Dec 30 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Dec 30 $10 −$3 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Dec 30 $10 −$2 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Dec 30 $10 +$3 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Dec 30 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Dec 30 $10 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Dec 30 $10 +$3 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Dec 30 $10 −$6 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Dec 30 $10 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Dec 30 $10 +$2 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Dec 30 $10 −$6 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Dec 30 $10 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Dec 30 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Dec 30 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Dec 30 $10 +$2 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Dec 30 $10 +$4 +42%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 93% −$81
sports 5% +$7
other 2% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 0 Japan? BUY Yes 13¢ $2 1h
Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 1 Japan? BUY Yes 9¢ $1 1h
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 73¢ $2 1h
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 1 Japan? BUY Yes 16¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 0 Japan? BUY Yes 8¢ $1 1h
Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands O/U 2.5 BUY Under 82¢ $10 1h
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 53¢ $5 1h
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 74¢ $10 1h
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 0.5 BUY Under 8¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY No 44¢ $3 1h
Exact Score: Germany 1 - 0 Curaçao? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 0 Curaçao? BUY Yes 11¢ $2 1h
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Curaçao? BUY Yes 15¢ $5 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 0.5 BUY Under 69¢ $5 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 3.5 BUY Under 44¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland? SELL Yes 100¢ $8 6h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland? BUY Yes 61¢ $5 7h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY Yes 16¢ $1 7h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 55¢ $5 7h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5 BUY Under 26¢ $1 23h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 39¢ $2 23h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 18¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET SELL Down 9¢ $4 165d
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $20 165d
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET SELL Down 56¢ $23 165d
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $20 165d
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET SELL Up 19¢ $8 165d
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $20 165d
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET SELL Up 27¢ $11 165d
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $20 165d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +59%
net ROI/market (all)-7.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 +61.5% +46.2% 67% 67% +56.1%
≤30d 6 +61.5% +46.2% 67% 67% +56.1%
≤90d 6 +61.5% +46.2% 67% 67% +56.1%
all 90 +2.6% -7.2% 73% 59% -16.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.2% 59% -16.5%
10% -16.0% 23% -24.5%
15% -24.2% 11% -31.8%
20% -31.6% 7% -38.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $48.03 · official $48.03 (match) · 224 history records