Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T04:46:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
E9 0xe9a3…9cb1 crypto 700 markets active 2d ago coverage 26d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (65 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$83 (-3%) realized −$83 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -29% what you keep after slip
Net edge-29%after slip
Net WR43%break-even
Win rate50%350W / 350L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day65.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$68
14 days−$40
30 days−$138
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$138
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (65 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-16.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 137 -16.7% -24.6% 42% 39% -17.5%
≤30d 700 -7.4% -16.2% 50% 43% -14.4%
≤90d 700 -7.4% -16.2% 50% 43% -14.4%
all 700 -7.4% -16.2% 50% 43% -14.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover65.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.2% 43% -14.4%
10% ← realistic here -24.2% 39% -22.6%
15% -31.5% 34% -30.1%
20% -38.2% 27% -36.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
13% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -7% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -12% → late -2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.5 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$2 · ×0.84 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.84 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

26d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$83
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses350 / 350
Open positions0
Markets (closed)700 / 700
History coverage26d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day65.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 700 Trades
no open positions (241 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$5 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$9 +425%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$3 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$6 +201%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$1 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$3 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$7 +208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$6 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$4 +47%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2203 history records