trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -41.3% | -46.8% | 33% | 33% | -37.0% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -55.9% | -60.1% | 25% | 25% | -37.0% |
| ≤90d | 7 | -3.0% | -12.3% | 57% | 57% | -29.4% |
| all | 28 | -30.7% | -37.3% | 46% | 21% | -59.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -37.3% | 21% | -59.2% |
| 10% | -43.3% | 21% | -63.1% |
| 15% | -48.8% | 18% | -66.7% |
| 20% | -53.8% | 14% | -69.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5 | Over | 49¢ | 58¢ | $5,000 | $5,969 | +$969 (+19%) |
| Will New Zealand vs. Belgium end in a draw? | No | 89¢ | 99¢ | $4,000 | $4,454 | +$454 (+11%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 2.5 | Jun 27 | $2,026 | +$1,545 | +76% |
| Uruguay vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score | Jun 26 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $3,015 | −$3,000 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET | Jun 08 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET | May 11 | $1 | +$1 | +76% |
| Will Le Havre AC vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw? | May 11 | $726 | +$247 | +34% |
| Spread: Nuggets (-11.5) | Apr 29 | $20 | +$18 | +92% |
| RC Celta de Vigo vs. PAOK: O/U 2.5 | Feb 27 | $500 | +$462 | +92% |
| KRC Genk vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 2.5 | Feb 26 | $1,500 | −$1,500 | -100% |
| FK Crvena zvezda vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5 | Feb 26 | $2,000 | −$990 | -50% |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5 | Feb 25 | $1,000 | −$1,000 | -100% |
| Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 3.5 | Feb 24 | $3,400 | −$3,400 | -100% |
| OGC Nice vs. FC Lorient: O/U 2.5 | Feb 22 | $1,000 | −$1,000 | -100% |
| AZ vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 2.5 | Feb 22 | $239 | −$239 | -100% |
| AJ Auxerre vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5 | Feb 22 | $1,391 | −$1,391 | -100% |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 | Jan 28 | $280 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Curtis Sliwa drop out? | Dec 16 | $280 | +$1 | +0% |
| Israel strikes Iran by October 31? | Nov 03 | $20 | +$2 | +9% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting? | Nov 03 | $130 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Trump visit Israel by October 15? | Oct 13 | $1,109 | −$8 | -1% |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | Oct 13 | $1,116 | −$7 | -1% |
| Magic vs. Bucks | Dec 10 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Timberwolves vs. Kings | Nov 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Trump election interference trial start in September or October? | Oct 24 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Will JD Vance say "abortion" during the debate? | Oct 24 | $7 | +$1 | +10% |
| RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August? | Sep 26 | $7 | $0 | +4% |
| Bitcoin above $65,000 on July 26? | Aug 25 | $4 | +$2 | +45% |
| Roaring Kitty billionaire before July? | Jul 20 | $6 | $0 | +3% |