Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:51:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E9
0xe999…3156
sports · 198 markets active 0h ago
4.0score
+$50 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$50 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$24
Realized+$50
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses95 / 93
Est. fees paid−$8
Open positions10
Markets (closed)188 / 198
History coverage516d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day0.7
Drawdown91%
Kalshi-fit82%
Chart Positions 10 History 188 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$17
14 days+$50
30 days+$27
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? No 43¢ 42¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Athletics 68¢ 60¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-12%)
Will Luis Arraez hit the most triples in the 2026 MLB regular season? No 98¢ 97¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-0%)
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Lotte Giants Hanwha Eagles 53¢ 53¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage Rune Eaters 53¢ 50¢ $3 $2 −$0 (-6%)
Spread: Athletics (-1.5) Colorado Rockies 46¢ 61¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+33%)
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No 56¢ 56¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FURIA 62¢ 62¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? No 94¢ 94¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 30¢ 30¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 74¢ 72¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner BetBoom Team 60¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 HANJIN BRION 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Scottie Scheffler finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday? Yes 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner Deep Cross Gaming 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner HANJIN BRION 19¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals Cincinnati Reds 15¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
FC Tōkyō vs. Cerezo Ōsaka: O/U 4.5 Over 26¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will KFUM-Kameratene Oslo vs. Tromsø IL end in a draw? No 58¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: NIP vs FaZe - Map 2 Winner FaZe 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs ThunderTalk Gaming 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will DR Congo vs. Denmark end in a draw? No 77¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5 No 16¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Anyones Legend 70¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $4 +$1 +42%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $3 +$2 +45%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5 Jun 12 $4 +$1 +32%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 11 $5 +$1 +25%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $3 +$2 +61%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $10 −$5 -50%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Gauthier Onclin Jun 10 $5 −$5 -98%
Iraq vs. Venezuela: O/U 5.5 Jun 10 $1 $0 +2%
Will Monte qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 09 $3 +$2 +67%
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Sta Jun 08 $6 +$8 +138%
Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+1.5) Jun 08 $3 +$2 +49%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $6 +$2 +33%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 08 $6 +$3 +54%
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs summer bear (BO3) - European Pro League Group Jun 08 $2 −$2 -98%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $1 +$2 +165%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-09? Jun 07 $6 −$6 -98%
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Jun 07 $2 $0 +2%
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Jun 07 $2 $0 +2%
Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Pr Jun 07 $6 +$9 +150%
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open? Jun 07 $6 +$2 +25%
Will Shane Lowry finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 the Memorial Tournam Jun 07 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $6 +$4 +66%
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Global Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 07 $3 +$2 +72%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $3 −$3 -98%
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group S Jun 07 $5 +$7 +130%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $5 −$5 -99%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $3 +$2 +57%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $6 +$26 +421%
Will Tony Finau finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 the Memorial Tourname Jun 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $6 +$2 +37%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $4 −$3 -64%
Fight to Go the Distance? Jun 07 $3 −$3 -100%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Lo Jun 06 $1 $0 +20%
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $3 +$2 +82%
Will Isack Hadjar get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Jun 06 $1 $0 +1%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $6 −$6 -100%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $5 +$5 +107%
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals Jun 06 $3 −$3 -99%
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs NRG - Map 1 Winner Jun 06 $6 +$2 +42%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $6 −$4 -60%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $2 +$2 +114%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $4 −$3 -88%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $3 +$2 +46%
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix Jun 06 $4 −$4 -100%
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 06 $1 −$1 -98%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $6 −$6 -99%
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $5 −$5 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 93% +$77
other 6% −$35
politics 0% $0
tech 0% $0
culture 0% +$9
economics 0% $0
world 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 84¢ $2 21m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 43¢ $2 28m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 43¢ $2 45m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 61¢ $3 59m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY TheMongolz 30¢ $1 1h
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Lotte Giants BUY Hanwha Eagles 53¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 74¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 62¢ $1 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 95¢ $1 1h
Spread: Athletics (-1.5) BUY Colorado Rockies 46¢ $1 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 43¢ $1 1h
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? BUY No 94¢ $1 1h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5 BUY Under 75¢ $4 29h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 70¢ $4 29h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY B8 35¢ $1 29h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 42¢ $1 29h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Heretics Academy 62¢ $3 33h
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C BUY Galions 96¢ $1 34h
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C BUY Galions 75¢ $4 35h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Under 69¢ $3 35h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Vitality 79¢ $4 37h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY FUT Esports 24¢ $2 38h
Will Luis Arraez hit the most triples in the 2026 MLB regular season? BUY No 98¢ $2 38h
Will Luis Arraez hit the most triples in the 2026 MLB regular season? BUY No 98¢ $1 38h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY FUT Esports 34¢ $3 38h
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Gauthier Onclin BUY Gauthier Onclin 37¢ $4 2d
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Gauthier Onclin BUY Gauthier Onclin 36¢ $1 2d
Iraq vs. Venezuela: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 98¢ $1 3d
Will Monte qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 60¢ $3 4d
Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+1.5) BUY Leviatán Esports 67¢ $3 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 55 -0.0% -9.6% 56% 47% -2.0%
≤30d 166 -3.4% -12.6% 48% 43% -5.8%
≤90d 170 -0.5% -9.9% 49% 45% -2.4%
all 188 -0.7% -10.1% 51% 41% -7.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.7 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.1% 41% -7.4%
10% -18.7% 39% -16.2%
15% -26.6% 32% -24.3%
20% -33.8% 23% -31.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $23.75 · official $23.75 (match) · 454 history records