Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T12:35:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E9
0xe98c…8792
sports · 35 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$2,072 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,687 · open −$385
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$2,634
Realized−$1,687
Unrealized−$385
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses13 / 19
Whale WR (big bets)62%
Est. fees paid−$547
Open positions3
Markets (closed)32 / 35
History coverage9d
Avg bet$1,006
Trades / day9.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 3 History 32 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6,191
7 days+$3,159
14 days−$1,687
30 days−$1,687
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Switzerland 58¢ 60¢ $1,485 $1,523 +$38 (+3%)
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel Taro Daniel 48¢ 48¢ $742 $742 +$0 (+0%)
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz Alexander Bublik 57¢ 26¢ $792 $368 −$424 (-54%)
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann Yannick Hanfmann 32¢ $669 $0 −$669 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 34¢ $665 $0 −$665 (-100%)
Heilbronn: Luka Mikrut vs Marvin Moeller Marvin Moeller 31¢ $798 $0 −$798 (-100%)
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Zhizhen Zhang Tallon Griekspoor 40¢ $990 $0 −$990 (-100%)
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Golden Knights 38¢ $954 $0 −$954 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 60¢ $543 $0 −$543 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev Jakub Mensik 21¢ $952 $0 −$952 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks Spurs 46¢ $1,412 $0 −$1,412 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Tatjana Maria 39¢ $742 $0 −$742 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Pliskova Victoria Mboko 49¢ $693 $0 −$693 (-100%)
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks 39¢ $1,300 $0 −$1,300 (-100%)
Kostyuk vs. Andreeva: Match O/U 21.5 Over 55¢ $733 $0 −$733 (-100%)
Birmingham: Yunchaokete Bu vs Mark Lajal Mark Lajal 26¢ $1,047 $0 −$1,047 (-100%)
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur Panna Udvardy 37¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Los Angeles Dodgers 49¢ $793 $0 −$793 (-100%)
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Thijs Boogaard 24¢ $445 $0 −$445 (-100%)
Makarska: Akasha Urhobo vs Darja Semenistaja Akasha Urhobo 38¢ $1,030 $0 −$1,030 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks Knicks 54¢ $2,126 $0 −$2,126 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 13 $1,006 +$1,137 +113%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $959 +$1,294 +135%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $804 +$749 +93%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Jun 12 $678 −$665 -98%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $455 −$445 -98%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $756 −$742 -98%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $776 +$1,229 +158%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $1,413 +$795 +56%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $2,447 +$1,014 +41%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Jun 11 $1,205 +$1,825 +152%
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Zhizhen Zhang Jun 11 $1,008 −$990 -98%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Hynek Barton Jun 11 $1,002 +$1,233 +123%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $1,440 −$1,412 -98%
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur Jun 10 $42 −$42 -98%
HSBC Championships: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Pliskova Jun 10 $704 −$693 -98%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Alexandra Eala Jun 10 $1,204 +$996 +83%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann Jun 10 $675 −$669 -99%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 10 $1,002 +$897 +90%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $2,156 −$2,126 -99%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 07 $1,107 +$1,074 +97%
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 06 $1,323 −$1,300 -98%
Heilbronn: Luka Mikrut vs Marvin Moeller Jun 05 $814 −$798 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli Jun 05 $1,000 −$48 -5%
Birmingham: Yunchaokete Bu vs Mark Lajal Jun 05 $1,070 −$1,047 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev Jun 05 $974 −$952 -98%
Set 1 Winner: Shimabukuro vs Majchrzak Jun 05 $1,074 +$992 +92%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 05 $805 −$793 -98%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 05 $971 −$954 -98%
Makarska: Akasha Urhobo vs Darja Semenistaja Jun 04 $1,049 −$1,030 -98%
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees Jun 04 $932 +$1,061 +114%
Kostyuk vs. Andreeva: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 04 $743 −$733 -99%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 04 $549 −$543 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 98% −$3,302
other 2% +$1,229
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz BUY Alexander Bublik 57¢ $802 2h
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel BUY Taro Daniel 48¢ $754 8h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 58¢ $1,504 8h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Ben Shelton 47¢ $233 16h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Ben Shelton 46¢ $773 16h
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 34¢ $678 22h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard BUY Thijs Boogaard 24¢ $12 24h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard BUY Thijs Boogaard 24¢ $405 24h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard BUY Thijs Boogaard 24¢ $6 24h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard BUY Thijs Boogaard 24¢ $32 24h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 51¢ $804 25h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Tatjana Maria 39¢ $756 25h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $776 34h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 65¢ $637 40h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 62¢ $623 40h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 65¢ $31 40h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 65¢ $122 40h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 42¢ $183 42h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 42¢ $1 42h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 42¢ $3 42h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 42¢ $1 42h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 42¢ $34 42h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 42¢ $737 42h
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz SELL Taylor Fritz 100¢ $3,461 42h
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 70¢ $2,447 45h
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech SELL Adrian Mannarino 100¢ $3,030 45h
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech BUY Adrian Mannarino 40¢ $31 47h
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech BUY Adrian Mannarino 40¢ $4 47h
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech BUY Adrian Mannarino 39¢ $1,169 47h
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Zhizhen Zhang BUY Tallon Griekspoor 40¢ $1,008 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-22.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 21 +6.7% -3.4% 52% 52% +3.5%
≤30d 32 -14.3% -22.5% 41% 41% -14.3%
≤90d 32 -14.3% -22.5% 41% 41% -14.3%
all 32 -14.3% -22.5% 41% 41% -14.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.5 tr/day
realistic slip~11%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.5% 41% -14.3%
10% ← realistic here -29.9% 41% -22.5%
15% -36.7% 41% -30.0%
20% -42.9% 38% -36.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,634.12 · official $2,634.12 (match) · 102 history records