Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:59:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E9
0xe987…87c8
crypto · 834 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$139 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$139 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$139
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses474 / 360
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)834 / 834
History coverage68d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day18.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 834 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days−$22
14 days−$442
30 days−$162
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$17 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$7 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$8 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$9 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$6 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 11 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$3 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 09 $2 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 09 $2 +$2 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 09 $2 +$4 +252%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$118
sports 0% −$14
finance 0% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $21 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET SELL Up 10¢ $3 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $21 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $17 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $10 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $13 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $10 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $18 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $10 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $19 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $10 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET SELL Down 88¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET SELL Down 84¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-13.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 205 -10.1% -18.6% 58% 55% -12.7%
≤30d 703 -6.9% -15.8% 54% 47% -13.3%
≤90d 834 -4.7% -13.8% 57% 49% -12.5%
all 834 -4.7% -13.8% 57% 49% -12.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.8% 49% -12.5%
10% -22.0% 39% -20.9%
15% -29.6% 28% -28.5%
20% -36.5% 21% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1990 history records