Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:28:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E9
0xe982…ee11
sports · 36 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$10 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$11 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$11
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses14 / 18
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions4
Markets (closed)32 / 36
History coverage92d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day0.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit67%
Chart Positions 4 History 32 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days−$7
30 days−$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 81¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 58¢ 57¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs XLG Gaming 20¢ 18¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-10%)
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs EDward Gaming 36¢ 86¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+140%)
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Nova Esports (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 1 Playoffs Nova Esports 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-02? Yes 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-03-20? Yes 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Dragon Ranger Gaming 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage XLG Gaming 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Valorant: Trace Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 1 Playoffs Trace Esports 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? Yes 46¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffs Paper Rex 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-03? Yes 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-03-16? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-15? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Lo Jun 06 $1 −$1 -98%
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 06 $1 −$1 -98%
Valorant: TEC Esports vs Nova Esports (BO5) - China Evolution Series A May 31 $1 +$1 +65%
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 30 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $3 −$3 -99%
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-02? May 02 $5 −$5 -99%
Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2026-05-01? May 01 $5 +$3 +52%
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs TEC Esports (BO3) - VCT China Playoffs May 01 $5 +$1 +21%
Will Carabobo FC win on 2026-04-30? May 01 $5 +$4 +73%
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-04-29? Apr 30 $5 +$3 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Apr 29 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Apr 29 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Apr 29 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Apr 29 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Apr 29 $1 −$1 -97%
Will CA Lanús win on 2026-04-28? Apr 29 $4 +$3 +65%
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-03? Apr 28 $2 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Mar 21 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Mar 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Valorant: Any Questions Gaming vs TYLOO (BO3) - China Evolution Series Mar 20 $2 +$1 +44%
Valorant: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - China Evolution Series Mar 20 $2 +$1 +44%
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs FunPlus Phoenix (BO3) - China Evolution S Mar 19 $3 +$2 +61%
Valorant: Trace Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - China Evolution Series Ac Mar 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Nova Esports (BO3) - China Evolution Seri Mar 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-03-20? Mar 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-03-16? Mar 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-15? Mar 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Masters Santiago Mar 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Valorant: NRG vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffs Mar 15 $3 +$2 +82%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoff Mar 14 $2 +$2 +96%
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playof Mar 13 $1 +$1 +118%
Valorant: Mir Gaming vs DRX Academy (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Season Mar 13 $1 $0 +50%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 42% $0
sports 40% +$1
crypto 18% −$12
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play SELL EDward Gaming 93¢ $1 14m
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play SELL EDward Gaming 60¢ $1 28m
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 36¢ $1 41m
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play SELL EDward Gaming 33¢ $1 42m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 58¢ $1 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $1 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY XLG Gaming 20¢ $1 1h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 24¢ $1 1h
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Lo BUY Dragon Ranger Gaming 17¢ $1 7d
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage BUY XLG Gaming 28¢ $1 7d
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? BUY Yes 46¢ $3 13d
Valorant: TEC Esports vs Nova Esports (BO5) - China Evolution Series A BUY Nova Esports 60¢ $1 13d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? BUY Yes 54¢ $2 13d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? BUY Yes 56¢ $1 13d
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-02? BUY Yes 57¢ $5 41d
Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2026-05-01? BUY Yes 65¢ $5 43d
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs TEC Esports (BO3) - VCT China Playoffs BUY XLG Gaming 82¢ $5 43d
Will Carabobo FC win on 2026-04-30? BUY Yes 57¢ $5 44d
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-04-29? BUY Yes 59¢ $5 45d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 45d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 45d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 45d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $3 45d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 45d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 45d
Will CA Lanús win on 2026-04-28? BUY Yes 60¢ $2 46d
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-03? BUY Yes 44¢ $2 46d
Will CA Lanús win on 2026-04-28? BUY Yes 60¢ $2 46d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 84d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 84d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-35.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 5 -67.1% -70.2% 20% 20% -83.3%
≤90d 24 -35.2% -41.4% 42% 42% -26.2%
all 32 -28.1% -35.0% 44% 44% -23.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -35.0% 44% -23.3%
10% -41.2% 41% -30.6%
15% -46.9% 41% -37.3%
20% -52.1% 31% -43.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.19 · official $2.94 (match) · 57 history records