Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:06:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E9
0xe97c…ceef
crypto · 793 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,115 -15%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,063 · open −$22
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$18
Realized−$1,063
Unrealized−$22
Win rate (resolved)32%
Wins / losses245 / 524
Open positions5
Markets (closed)769 / 793
History coverage107d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day23.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 5 History 769 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$220
7 days−$630
14 days−$649
30 days−$925
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Tucker Carlson federally charged? Yes 3¢ 2¢ $14 $9 −$5 (-33%)
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes 14¢ 12¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-13%)
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 29¢ 16¢ $5 $3 −$2 (-43%)
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes 37¢ 6¢ $10 $1 −$9 (-85%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Down 26¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+285%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-98%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $62 $0 −$62 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$12 +143%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$11 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$7 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$4 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$10 +240%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$9 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$3 +248%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$5 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$8 +125%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$8 +240%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$3 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$2 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$2 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$11 +350%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 13 $5 +$4 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? Jun 12 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$12 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $39 −$21 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$11 +176%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$9 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $23 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$15 +111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $34 +$18 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 89% −$1,090
world 6% +$22
politics 2% +$81
other 2% +$1
finance 1% −$98
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET SELL Down 85¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Up 78¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Up 66¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Down 73¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET SELL Down 87¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $7 2h
Tucker Carlson federally charged? SELL Yes 1¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $4 2h
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 15¢ $8 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 313 -6.0% -14.9% 29% 29% -32.3%
≤30d 660 -4.7% -13.8% 31% 30% -27.3%
≤90d 767 -1.3% -10.7% 32% 31% -25.6%
all 769 -0.6% -10.1% 32% 31% -24.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover23.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.1% 31% -24.7%
10% ← realistic here -18.7% 30% -31.9%
15% -26.5% 28% -38.5%
20% -33.7% 27% -44.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $18.35 · official $18.12 (match) · 2778 history records