Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T04:24:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E9 0xe974…e575 crypto 1098 markets active 0h ago coverage 85d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$1,133 (-6%) realized −$1,133 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -10% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -31% what you keep after slip
Net edge-31%after slip
Net WR47%break-even
Win rate53%578W / 520L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$18per market
Trades / day20.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$32
7 days+$112
14 days−$9
30 days−$177
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$1,485
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-19.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 52 -3.9% -13.0% 54% 50% +3.1%
≤30d 332 -6.0% -14.9% 58% 49% -10.7%
≤90d 1098 -10.4% -19.0% 53% 47% -16.4%
all 1098 -10.4% -19.0% 53% 47% -16.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover20.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.0% 47% -16.4%
10% ← realistic here -26.7% 42% -24.4%
15% -33.8% 38% -31.7%
20% -40.3% 33% -38.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -8% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
10% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -10% · $-wt -8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -16% → late -5% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$9 vs −$13 · ×0.71 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.78 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

85d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,133
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses578 / 520
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1098 / 1098
History coverage85d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day20.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1098 Trades
no open positions (435 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 18 $21 +$12 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 18 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 18 $26 +$20 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 18 $5 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 17 $52 +$38 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 17 $15 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 17 $107 +$117 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 17 $104 −$104 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 17 $51 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 17 $15 −$14 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$5 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 16 $10 +$6 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$5 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$5 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 15 $7 +$6 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$11 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$16 +153%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $52 +$67 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$9 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$7 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $26 −$5 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$16 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$10 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$16 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$11 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$28 +134%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $32 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $21 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET SELL Down 93¢ $46 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $52 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $15 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $107 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $104 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $51 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $12 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $10 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $7 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $10 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2511 history records