Wallet analysis

2026-06-25T20:05:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.0
score
E9 0xe967…02ae crypto 67 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (69 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$369 (+3%) realized +$369 · open +$0
Gross ROI / mkt +3% what the leader earns
−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -21% what you keep after slip
Net edge-21%after slip
Net WR10%break-even
Win rate97%65W / 2L
Drawdown68%max
Avg bet$195per market
Trades / day69.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$225
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (69 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +10%
net ROI/market (all)-6.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 67 +2.9% -6.9% 97% 10% -8.0%
≤30d 67 +2.9% -6.9% 97% 10% -8.0%
≤90d 67 +2.9% -6.9% 97% 10% -8.0%
all 67 +2.9% -6.9% 97% 10% -8.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover69.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.9% 10% -8.0%
10% ← realistic here -15.8% 3% -16.8%
15% -24.0% 1% -24.8%
20% -31.4% 0% -32.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 15% · top 2 19% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
88% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +3% · $-wt +2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +5% → late +1% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$10 vs −$202 · ×0.05 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.56 per $1 lost it wins $1.56
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$369
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses65 / 2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)67 / 67
History coverage1d
Avg bet$195
Trades / day69.0
Drawdown68%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 67 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 25 $201 +$11 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 25 $201 +$12 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 25 $400 +$6 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 25 $201 +$8 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 25 $200 +$2 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 25 $201 −$201 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 25 $200 +$6 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 25 $405 −$202 -50%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 25 $200 +$2 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 25 $201 +$21 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 25 $200 +$6 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 25 $193 +$4 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 25 $200 +$4 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 25 $205 +$97 +48%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 25 $201 +$8 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 25 $202 +$23 +11%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 25 $200 +$7 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 25 $201 +$8 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 25 $200 +$3 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 25 $200 +$2 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 25 $201 +$8 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 25 $201 +$12 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 25 $201 +$17 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 25 $201 +$8 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 25 $200 +$4 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 25 $201 +$8 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 25 $200 +$4 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 25 $201 +$8 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 25 $200 +$6 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 25 $175 +$5 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 25 $201 +$8 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 25 $201 +$8 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 25 $202 +$23 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 25 $201 +$12 +6%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 25 $201 +$8 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 25 $200 +$3 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 25 $200 +$5 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 25 $200 +$5 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 25 $202 +$24 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 25 $201 +$16 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 25 $201 +$19 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 25 $200 +$4 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 25 $200 +$6 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 25 $201 +$12 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 25 $200 +$4 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 25 $201 +$12 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 25 $501 +$12 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 25 $501 +$17 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 25 $200 +$2 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 25 $51 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $201 5m
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $201 6m
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $200 15m
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $200 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $201 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $200 21m
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $205 41m
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $200 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $200 41m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $200 45m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $200 46m
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $201 46m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $193 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $205 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $200 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $201 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $201 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $202 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $200 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $201 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $200 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $200 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $201 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $201 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $201 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $200 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $201 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $201 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $201 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $200 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 138 history records