Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:56:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E9
0xe964…8b45
sports · 68 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
−$18 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$18 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$322
Realized−$18
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses29 / 30
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions9
Markets (closed)59 / 68
History coverage45d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day1.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit66%
Chart Positions 9 History 59 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$22
7 days+$22
14 days+$28
30 days+$28
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Yes 32¢ 49¢ $50 $76 +$26 (+51%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $50 $61 +$11 (+21%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 11¢ $50 $52 +$2 (+3%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $50 $50 −$0 (-0%)
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $50 $48 −$2 (-4%)
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? No 48¢ 20¢ $42 $18 −$24 (-57%)
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Milwaukee Bucks in 2026-27? Yes 20¢ 8¢ $25 $10 −$15 (-62%)
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Yes 33¢ 100¢ $2 $6 +$4 (+203%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Over 38¢ 38¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? Yes 33¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Jude Bellingham: Anytime Goalscorer Yes 20¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorer Yes 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Paul George: Points O/U 15.5 Yes 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 25.5 Yes 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Vinicius Junior: Anytime Goalscorer Yes 34¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers Lakers 7¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Julian Alvarez: Anytime Goalscorer Yes 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 15.5 Yes 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Spread: Spurs (-9.5) Timberwolves 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-02? Yes 43¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Cleveland Guardians vs. Athletics Cleveland Guardians 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Austin Reaves: Points O/U 21.5 Yes 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-05-05? Yes 51¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $3 +$3 +83%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $8 +$2 +26%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 −$2 -45%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $2 +$2 +97%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $5 +$8 +158%
Julián Quiñones: 3+ shots Jun 12 $5 +$3 +65%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $5 +$1 +17%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $5 +$4 +83%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $5 +$2 +31%
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 02 $5 +$5 +105%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10? May 10 $39 −$38 -98%
Jude Bellingham: Anytime Goalscorer May 10 $5 −$5 -98%
Vinicius Junior: Anytime Goalscorer May 10 $5 −$5 -98%
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers May 09 $5 +$5 +90%
Knicks vs. 76ers May 09 $5 +$5 +101%
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 15.5 May 08 $5 −$5 -99%
New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewers May 08 $5 −$5 -99%
Paul George: Points O/U 15.5 May 08 $5 −$5 -99%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5 May 08 $2 +$1 +76%
LeBron James: Points O/U 20.5 May 08 $29 +$23 +78%
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves May 07 $1 $0 +24%
Paul George: Points O/U 14.5 May 07 $3 +$2 +73%
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final? May 07 $10 +$14 +140%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? May 06 $7 −$7 -98%
Spread: Spurs (-9.5) May 06 $3 −$3 -98%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorer May 06 $3 −$3 -98%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 31.5 May 06 $3 +$3 +93%
LeBron James: Points O/U 20.5 May 06 $4 +$4 +90%
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-05-05? May 05 $13 −$13 -99%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? May 05 $1 −$1 -98%
Austin Reaves: Points O/U 21.5 May 05 $2 −$2 -98%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astros May 05 $3 −$3 -99%
Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw? May 05 $1 −$1 -98%
Julian Alvarez: Anytime Goalscorer May 05 $1 −$1 -98%
Spread: Thunder (-16.5) May 05 $5 −$5 -99%
Cavaliers vs. Pistons May 05 $3 −$3 -98%
Spread: Spurs (-13.5) May 05 $3 +$2 +70%
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04? May 05 $3 +$3 +97%
Spread: Knicks (-7.5) May 04 $3 −$3 -98%
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5) May 04 $3 −$3 -98%
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) May 04 $5 +$2 +36%
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Pistons vs. Magic May 04 $6 +$12 +216%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals May 03 $3 +$2 +70%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03? May 03 $3 +$2 +76%
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 25.5 May 03 $3 −$3 -99%
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03? May 03 $3 +$4 +134%
76ers vs. Celtics May 03 $1 +$2 +238%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Athletics May 03 $3 −$3 -99%
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03? May 03 $3 −$3 -98%
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics May 03 $1 +$10 +947%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 47% −$80
sports 45% +$52
crypto 8% +$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 38¢ $3 46m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 30¢ $3 1h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 33¢ $2 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 41¢ $4 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 54¢ $3 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $5 2h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 20¢ $2 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 79¢ $8 4h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $5 24h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 53¢ $6 25h
Julián Quiñones: 3+ shots BUY Yes 60¢ $5 27h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 44¢ $5 29h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 76¢ $5 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 54¢ $5 2d
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $51 2d
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 4¢ $51 2d
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 10¢ $51 2d
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $51 2d
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? BUY No 48¢ $42 9d
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Milwaukee Bucks in 2026-27? BUY Yes 20¢ $26 10d
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes 32¢ $51 10d
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10? BUY Yes 23¢ $39 33d
Jude Bellingham: Anytime Goalscorer BUY Yes 20¢ $5 33d
Vinicius Junior: Anytime Goalscorer BUY Yes 34¢ $5 33d
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 15.5 BUY Yes 58¢ $5 34d
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 52¢ $5 35d
New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY New York Yankees 57¢ $5 35d
Knicks vs. 76ers BUY Knicks 49¢ $5 35d
Paul George: Points O/U 15.5 BUY Yes 56¢ $5 35d
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5 BUY No 56¢ $2 36d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-0.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 +57.0% +42.0% 89% 89% +36.6%
≤30d 10 +61.8% +46.4% 90% 90% +41.7%
≤90d 59 +10.2% -0.3% 49% 49% -15.0%
all 59 +10.2% -0.3% 49% 49% -15.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -0.3% 49% -15.0%
10% -9.8% 47% -23.1%
15% -18.5% 44% -30.5%
20% -26.5% 41% -37.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $322.32 · official $322.32 (match) · 104 history records