Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:57:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E9
0xe963…70a8
sports · 234 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$138 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$51 · open −$87
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$3,768
Realized−$51
Unrealized−$87
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses170 / 6
Est. fees paid−$9
Open positions58
Markets (closed)176 / 234
History coverage4d
Avg bet$29
Trades / day70.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 58 History 176 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$70
7 days−$51
14 days−$51
30 days−$51
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Under 94¢ 100¢ $100 $106 +$6 (+6%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 13? No 94¢ 100¢ $100 $106 +$6 (+6%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FURIA 94¢ 100¢ $100 $106 +$6 (+6%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score in First Half No 94¢ 100¢ $100 $106 +$6 (+6%)
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs XLG Gaming 94¢ 100¢ $100 $106 +$6 (+6%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Draw at halftime? No 94¢ 100¢ $100 $106 +$6 (+6%)
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs Eintracht Spandau 94¢ 100¢ $100 $106 +$6 (+6%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar 1st Half O/U 0.5 Under 94¢ 100¢ $100 $106 +$6 (+6%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Under 94¢ 100¢ $100 $106 +$6 (+6%)
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 2 Winner LOS 94¢ 100¢ $100 $106 +$6 (+6%)
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs LOS 94¢ 100¢ $100 $106 +$6 (+6%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 13? No 94¢ 100¢ $100 $106 +$6 (+6%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner FURIA 94¢ 100¢ $100 $106 +$6 (+6%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 5.5 Under 94¢ 100¢ $100 $106 +$6 (+6%)
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 3 Switzerland? No 94¢ 100¢ $100 $106 +$6 (+6%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 13? No 94¢ 100¢ $100 $106 +$6 (+6%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 1.5 Under 94¢ 100¢ $100 $106 +$6 (+6%)
Spread: Switzerland (-3.5) Qatar 94¢ 99¢ $100 $105 +$5 (+5%)
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5) St. Louis Cardinals 94¢ 98¢ $100 $104 +$4 (+4%)
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-4.5) Minnesota Twins 94¢ 98¢ $100 $104 +$4 (+4%)
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m? No 94¢ 96¢ $100 $102 +$2 (+2%)
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 2 Switzerland? No 94¢ 96¢ $100 $102 +$2 (+2%)
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026? No 94¢ 96¢ $100 $102 +$2 (+2%)
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? No 94¢ 96¢ $100 $102 +$2 (+2%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? No 94¢ 95¢ $100 $101 +$1 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $100 +$6 +6%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $100 +$6 +6%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $100 +$6 +6%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $100 +$6 +6%
Will Brooks Koepka win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $100 +$6 +6%
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $100 +$6 +6%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $100 +$6 +6%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $100 +$6 +6%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $100 +$6 +6%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Jun 13 $44 +$3 +6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $100 +$6 +6%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $100 +$6 +6%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $100 +$6 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 13? Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 13? Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 13? Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13? Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $100 +$6 +6%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 13? Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 13? Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 13? Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 13? Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 13? Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $100 +$6 +6%
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5) Jun 13 $72 +$5 +6%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $99 +$7 +7%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $100 +$6 +6%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $100 +$6 +6%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $100 +$6 +6%
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 156.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-9.5) Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Israel closes its airspace by June 12? Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 13? Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Spread: Athletics (-3.5) Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Spread: Athletics (-4.5) Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 70% −$128
other 9% −$52
weather 8% +$25
crypto 5% +$16
world 4% +$3
culture 3% −$6
finance 0% +$2
tech 0% +$1
politics 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 2.5 BUY Under 94¢ $100 9m
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? BUY No 94¢ $100 11m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 94¢ $100 19m
Spread: Switzerland (-3.5) BUY Qatar 94¢ $100 28m
Will Brooks Koepka win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? SELL No 100¢ $5 33m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 94¢ $100 1h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on Ju BUY No 94¢ $33 1h
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-3.5) BUY Minnesota Twins 94¢ $100 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY XLG Gaming 94¢ $73 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY XLG Gaming 94¢ $27 1h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on Ju BUY No 94¢ $24 1h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on Ju BUY No 94¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on Ju BUY No 94¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on Ju BUY No 94¢ $38 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Under 94¢ $1 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Under 94¢ $99 1h
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-4.5) BUY Minnesota Twins 94¢ $0 1h
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-4.5) BUY Minnesota Twins 94¢ $93 1h
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-4.5) BUY Minnesota Twins 94¢ $7 1h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P BUY Eintracht Spandau 94¢ $75 1h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P BUY Eintracht Spandau 94¢ $6 1h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P BUY Eintracht Spandau 94¢ $7 1h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P BUY Eintracht Spandau 94¢ $13 1h
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 2 Switzerland? BUY No 94¢ $100 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Draw at halftime? BUY No 94¢ $0 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Draw at halftime? BUY No 94¢ $100 1h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? BUY No 94¢ $100 1h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY No 94¢ $100 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 2.5 BUY Under 94¢ $100 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score in First Half BUY No 94¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-7.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 176 +2.6% -7.1% 97% 0% -11.1%
≤30d 176 +2.6% -7.1% 97% 0% -11.1%
≤90d 176 +2.6% -7.1% 97% 0% -11.1%
all 176 +2.6% -7.1% 97% 0% -11.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover70.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.1% 0% -11.1%
10% ← realistic here -16.0% 0% -19.6%
15% -24.1% 0% -27.4%
20% -31.6% 0% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3,767.55 · official $3,729.64 · 457 history records