Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T11:04:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E9
0xe95e…f8ef
crypto · 223 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$85 -17%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$86 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$86
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)32%
Wins / losses70 / 152
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)222 / 223
History coverage19d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day12.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit58%
Chart Positions 1 History 222 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$11
7 days−$11
14 days−$27
30 days−$86
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $2 $2 +$1 (+28%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Mexico 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5) Crystal Palace FC 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 29, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Club Cerro Porteño vs. CS Cristal: O/U 2.5 Over 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 27, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 0.5 Under 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 27, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 26, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5 Over 31¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 26, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 28, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 25, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 26, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +150%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$6 +309%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +66%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $2 +$2 +112%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +138%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +75%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +108%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +144%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +61%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Jun 11 $3 −$2 -97%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -93%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 0.5 Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 31, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET May 31 $3 −$3 -94%
BNB Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET May 31 $2 −$2 -94%
Cabo Verde vs. Serbia: O/U 3.5 May 31 $2 +$3 +105%
Poland vs. Ukraine: O/U 2.5 May 31 $3 −$2 -97%
Cabo Verde vs. Serbia: O/U 2.5 May 31 $2 +$3 +153%
Red Bull Bragantino vs. SC Internacional: O/U 3.5 May 31 $2 −$2 -96%
Will Serbia win on 2026-05-31? May 31 $2 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET May 31 $2 +$3 +138%
BNB Up or Down - May 31, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET May 31 $2 −$2 -96%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 31, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET May 31 $2 −$2 -94%
BNB Up or Down - May 31, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET May 31 $2 −$2 -94%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $3 −$3 -97%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 0.5 May 30 $2 −$2 -96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET May 30 $2 −$2 -95%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET May 30 $2 −$2 -95%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET May 30 $2 −$2 -95%
Will Roasso Kumamoto win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $2 +$8 +403%
Kyōto Sanga FC vs. Kashiwa Reysol: O/U 4.5 May 30 $2 −$2 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET May 30 $2 −$2 -94%
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $2 −$2 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 49% −$16
other 42% −$36
sports 9% −$33
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 21m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $2 40m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 59m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $2 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 34¢ $4 17h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $2 17h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 17h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 17h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 18h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 18h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 18h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 18h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $2 19h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 19h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 19h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 19h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 20h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 32¢ $2 23h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $2 23h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5 BUY Under 10¢ $2 23h
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) BUY Mexico 29¢ $3 38h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $2 38h
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 39h
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 39h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 0.5 BUY Under 9¢ $2 40h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-22.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 30 -18.4% -26.2% 37% 37% -26.6%
≤30d 222 -14.3% -22.5% 32% 32% -25.8%
≤90d 222 -14.3% -22.5% 32% 32% -25.8%
all 222 -14.3% -22.5% 32% 32% -25.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -22.5% 32% -25.8%
10% -29.9% 32% -32.9%
15% -36.7% 32% -39.3%
20% -42.9% 31% -45.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.45 · official $2.45 (match) · 315 history records