Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:53:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E9
0xe959…7c7a
other · 45 markets active 21d ago
0.0score
−$52 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$52 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$52
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses15 / 30
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)45 / 45
History coverage96d
Avg bet$46
Trades / day35.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit57%
Chart Positions 0 History 45 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days−$19
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru Royal Challengers Bengaluru 9¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengal May 22 $19 −$19 -100%
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? May 17 $1 $0 +0%
Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $5.00 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026? May 15 $20 $0 +0%
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31 May 15 $5 $0 +0%
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? May 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Mumbai Indians May 10 $12 −$12 -100%
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Banga May 10 $23 −$23 -100%
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April May 10 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 10 $40 −$40 -100%
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April May 10 $40 −$40 -100%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indians May 10 $13 +$22 +178%
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on Ap Apr 29 $20 $0 +0%
Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on Apr 20 $7 $0 -0%
Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap o Apr 18 $4 $0 -0%
Netanyahu out by March 31? Apr 11 $9 −$9 -100%
Trump out as President by March 31? Apr 11 $72 −$72 -100%
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Mar 25 $50 $0 -0%
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Mar 25 $50 +$10 +21%
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Mar 20 $30 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Mar 20 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Mar 19 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on Ma Mar 19 $10 +$10 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 10PM ET Mar 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Manchester City reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals? Mar 18 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Mar 18 $20 +$20 +100%
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Mar 17 $30 +$22 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Mar 17 $20 +$20 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Mar 16 $1 −$1 -80%
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on March Mar 14 $118 +$127 +108%
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on March Mar 13 $144 +$144 +100%
Will Robert De Zerbi be appointed as manager of Tottenham? Mar 12 $100 +$1 +1%
Will Mauricio Pochettino be appointed as manager of Tottenham? Mar 06 $50 −$4 -7%
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Mar 04 $30 +$30 +100%
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Mar 01 $40 +$40 +100%
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Feb 25 $22 +$22 +100%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18? Feb 24 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-02-18? Feb 24 $62 −$62 -100%
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-02-18? Feb 24 $10 −$10 -100%
T20 World Cup: India vs South Africa Feb 24 $125 −$125 -100%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 23? Feb 20 $200 $0 +0%
Prince Andrew charged by March 31? Feb 20 $300 $0 +0%
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Feb 18 $100 $0 +0%
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? Feb 17 $30 $0 -0%
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on Feb 17 $100 +$6 +6%
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on Fe Feb 16 $40 +$10 +25%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 56% +$103
tech 14% +$123
sports 11% −$202
finance 11% $0
crypto 4% −$3
politics 3% −$72
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengal BUY Royal Challengers Bengaluru 2¢ $2 20d
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengal BUY Royal Challengers Bengaluru 17¢ $11 20d
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengal BUY Royal Challengers Bengaluru 17¢ $5 20d
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengal BUY Royal Challengers Bengaluru 17¢ $1 20d
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 26d
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31 SELL Yes 0¢ $5 28d
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31 BUY Yes 0¢ $3 31d
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31 BUY Yes 0¢ $2 31d
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 32d
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 32d
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 32d
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 32d
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indians SELL Royal Challengers Bangalore 100¢ $35 32d
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indians BUY Royal Challengers Bangalore 36¢ $8 32d
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indians BUY Royal Challengers Bangalore 36¢ $5 32d
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Banga BUY Royal Challengers Bangalore 0¢ $1 35d
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Banga BUY Royal Challengers Bangalore 8¢ $5 35d
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Banga BUY Royal Challengers Bangalore 8¢ $3 35d
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Banga BUY Royal Challengers Bangalore 17¢ $14 35d
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Mumbai Indians BUY Mumbai Indians 31¢ $12 40d
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on Ap SELL Yes 0¢ $7 43d
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on Ap SELL Yes 0¢ $1 43d
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on Ap SELL Yes 0¢ $2 43d
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on Ap SELL Yes 0¢ $1 43d
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on Ap SELL Yes 0¢ $1 44d
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on Ap SELL Yes 0¢ $1 44d
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on Ap SELL Yes 0¢ $7 44d
Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on SELL Yes 0¢ $7 52d
Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on BUY Yes 0¢ $0 52d
Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on BUY Yes 0¢ $0 52d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-23.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 4 -25.0% -32.1% 0% 0% -47.7%
≤90d 28 -28.9% -35.7% 25% 21% -42.5%
all 45 -15.0% -23.1% 33% 27% -11.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover35.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -23.1% 27% -11.8%
10% ← realistic here -30.5% 24% -20.2%
15% -37.2% 22% -27.9%
20% -43.4% 22% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records