Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:01:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E9
0xe947…b01f
sports · 96 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$436 -18%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$506 · open +$71
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$432
Realized−$506
Unrealized+$71
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses32 / 41
Est. fees paid−$28
Open positions55
Markets (closed)73 / 96
History coverage5d
Avg bet$25
Trades / day72.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit80%
Chart Positions 55 History 73 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$106
7 days−$506
14 days−$506
30 days−$506
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? No 93¢ 95¢ $33 $33 +$1 (+2%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Hanwha Life Esports 48¢ 100¢ $16 $33 +$17 (+108%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 43¢ 80¢ $16 $31 +$14 (+87%)
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) Legacy 59¢ 60¢ $26 $26 +$0 (+1%)
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026? No 90¢ 78¢ $26 $22 −$3 (-13%)
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No 93¢ 94¢ $21 $21 +$0 (+1%)
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BetBoom Team 60¢ 60¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? No 89¢ 78¢ $22 $19 −$3 (-13%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? No 58¢ 56¢ $17 $17 −$0 (-3%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Legacy 31¢ 30¢ $17 $17 −$0 (-3%)
Will Warsh say "Goods Inflation" during June Press Conference? Yes 36¢ 34¢ $17 $16 −$1 (-4%)
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Aurora Gaming 40¢ 38¢ $13 $12 −$0 (-4%)
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 84¢ 84¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Will Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 90¢ 91¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 68¢ 66¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-2%)
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 53¢ 54¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+1%)
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Team Liquid 45¢ 48¢ $6 $7 +$0 (+6%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? Yes 0¢ 72¢ $0 $6 +$6 (+0%)
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 34¢ 34¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+1%)
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June? No 0¢ 90¢ $0 $6 +$6 (+0%)
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? No 0¢ 76¢ $0 $6 +$6 (+0%)
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes 0¢ 10¢ $0 $6 +$6 (+0%)
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 28¢ 28¢ $5 $6 +$0 (+2%)
Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 62¢ 62¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? No 0¢ 84¢ $0 $5 +$5 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 12 $0 $0 —%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? Jun 12 $0 $0 —%
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? Jun 12 $0 $0 —%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 12 $0 $0 —%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Jun 12 $14 −$1 -5%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Jun 12 $54 +$2 +4%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali Jun 12 $8 +$5 +67%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $6 $0 -8%
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $18 $0 -0%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 11 $5 +$4 +73%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) Jun 11 $33 −$33 -100%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) Jun 11 $28 +$16 +56%
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? Jun 11 $83 −$52 -63%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $218 −$12 -6%
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 11 $31 −$31 -100%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $34 −$23 -68%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $25 −$25 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $24 +$26 +108%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $23 −$23 -99%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) Jun 11 $7 +$8 +128%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 11 $18 +$1 +3%
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30? Jun 11 $24 $0 +2%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $21 −$21 -98%
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATA Jun 11 $18 +$4 +24%
Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs paiN Gaming (+1.5) Jun 11 $8 +$8 +104%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Jun 11 $8 +$6 +82%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $9 +$29 +307%
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? Jun 10 $8 +$6 +82%
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 10 $19 +$2 +9%
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 10 $19 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 10 $9 −$9 -100%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $5 +$7 +133%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? Jun 10 $4 $0 +11%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Jun 10 $14 $0 +0%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Jun 10 $16 $0 -1%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $124 −$14 -12%
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Jun 09 $41 $0 +0%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? Jun 09 $20 +$1 +3%
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs BOMBA Team (BO3) - EMEA Masters Play-In Jun 09 $32 −$25 -77%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 09 $24 −$2 -8%
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) Jun 09 $19 −$19 -96%
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Misa Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Ser Jun 09 $10 +$5 +46%
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Gro Jun 09 $23 −$5 -23%
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 09 $7 +$2 +36%
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 09 $8 +$22 +276%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $8 −$8 -98%
Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Jun 08 $5 +$4 +83%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $19 +$6 +29%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $26 −$8 -31%
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? Jun 08 $69 −$20 -28%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 63% −$428
world 28% −$82
other 9% +$75
crypto 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Warsh say "Goods Inflation" during June Press Conference? BUY Yes 36¢ $17 0m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Legacy 31¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Legacy 31¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 33¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Legacy 32¢ $6 1h
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) BUY Legacy 59¢ $0 1h
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) BUY Legacy 59¢ $25 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 43¢ $17 2h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? SELL Yes 46¢ $6 3h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? SELL Yes 22¢ $15 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 49¢ $6 3h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? BUY Yes 48¢ $7 3h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? BUY Yes 25¢ $17 3h
US x China tariff agreement by June 30? SELL No 95¢ $10 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 47¢ $5 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 49¢ $6 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 50¢ $7 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 51¢ $10 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 51¢ $23 6h
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY BetBoom Team 60¢ $20 6h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Aurora Gaming 40¢ $13 6h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 48¢ $16 7h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali SELL LOS 100¢ $14 10h
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? SELL No 78¢ $5 13h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 31¢ $5 13h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? BUY No 91¢ $10 14h
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 91¢ $1 15h
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026? SELL No 83¢ $4 15h
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026? SELL No 83¢ $1 15h
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL No 56¢ $6 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-18.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 73 -10.4% -18.9% 44% 30% -36.9%
≤30d 73 -10.4% -18.9% 44% 30% -36.9%
≤90d 73 -10.4% -18.9% 44% 30% -36.9%
all 73 -10.4% -18.9% 44% 30% -36.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover72.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.9% 30% -36.9%
10% ← realistic here -26.7% 29% -43.0%
15% -33.8% 25% -48.5%
20% -40.3% 19% -53.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $431.52 · official $430.57 (match) · 374 history records