trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 2 | -46.5% | -51.6% | 0% | 0% | -62.4% |
| ≤90d | 6 | -49.5% | -54.4% | 0% | 0% | -47.1% |
| all | 21 | -40.9% | -46.5% | 14% | 10% | -52.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -46.5% | 10% | -52.9% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -51.6% | 10% | -57.4% |
| 15% | -56.3% | 5% | -61.5% |
| 20% | -60.6% | 5% | -65.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 10¢ | $8,970 | $8,843 | −$127 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $1,830 | −$1,249 | -68% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $532 | −$131 | -25% |
| Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5) | May 09 | $898 | −$879 | -98% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April? | Apr 10 | $2,176 | −$1,180 | -54% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 02 | $3,152 | −$468 | -15% |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Mar 31 | $5,478 | −$1,929 | -35% |
| Spread: Galatasaray SK (-1.5) | Mar 19 | $553 | −$553 | -100% |
| Will Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw? | Mar 19 | $500 | −$500 | -100% |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31? | Mar 18 | $1,800 | −$1,025 | -57% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | Mar 17 | $3,844 | −$3,187 | -83% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? | Mar 17 | $4,258 | −$3,021 | -71% |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 08 | $1,000 | −$105 | -10% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Mar 08 | $3,931 | +$11,504 | +293% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | Mar 04 | $7,910 | −$7,910 | -100% |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Dec 10 | $15,492 | −$14,795 | -96% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Nov 06 | $417 | −$291 | -70% |
| Olympic Basketball: Canada vs. France | Oct 31 | $1,010 | −$1,010 | -100% |
| Olympic Basketball: Greece vs Germany | Aug 06 | $444 | +$118 | +27% |
| Olympic Basketball: Australia vs. Serbia | Aug 06 | $498 | −$451 | -90% |
| Will Nicolas Maduro Win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election? | Aug 01 | $419 | −$27 | -6% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 July meeting? | Jul 31 | $404 | +$15 | +4% |