trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +35.1% | +22.2% | 100% | 100% | +22.2% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -34.4% | -40.6% | 50% | 50% | -41.5% |
| ≤90d | 14 | -24.2% | -31.4% | 64% | 36% | -48.1% |
| all | 20 | -21.8% | -29.2% | 70% | 25% | -43.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -29.2% | 25% | -43.7% |
| 10% | -36.0% | 20% | -49.1% |
| 15% | -42.2% | 5% | -54.0% |
| 20% | -47.9% | 0% | -58.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | Yes | 63¢ | 62¢ | $84 | $83 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card) | Jun 15 | $102 | +$36 | +35% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 03 | $124 | −$123 | -99% |
| Dota 2: Team Yandex vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage | May 29 | $72 | +$20 | +27% |
| Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves | May 23 | $58 | −$58 | -99% |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals | May 15 | $107 | −$106 | -99% |
| Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | May 15 | $9 | +$2 | +17% |
| 2026 U.S. House Election: Republican Odds over 40% by March 31? | May 15 | $13 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 35°F or below on March 13? | May 15 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March | May 15 | $16 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 11, 2026? | May 15 | $19 | +$5 | +24% |
| Spurs vs. Trail Blazers | May 15 | $45 | +$22 | +48% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 13-19? | May 15 | $78 | +$6 | +8% |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | May 07 | $67 | −$66 | -99% |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | Apr 29 | $79 | −$79 | -99% |
| Will Apple (AAPL) close above $210 end of January? | Feb 04 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $6,000 in January? | Feb 04 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Congress authorizes military force against Venezuela by January 31? | Feb 04 | $23 | $0 | +1% |
| Will BNB reach $1300 in January? | Feb 04 | $25 | $0 | +1% |
| Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31? | Jan 22 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will XRP reach $6.00 before 2026? | Jan 07 | $23 | $0 | +0% |