Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T14:42:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E9 0xe93a…071c crypto 207 markets active 1d ago coverage 10d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$3 (+1%) realized +$3 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR50%break-even
Win rate62%128W / 79L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1per market
Trades / day40.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days+$2
14 days−$5
30 days−$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-11.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 79 -0.5% -10.0% 59% 53% -8.0%
≤30d 207 -1.7% -11.1% 62% 50% -11.2%
≤90d 207 -1.7% -11.1% 62% 50% -11.2%
all 207 -1.7% -11.1% 62% 50% -11.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover40.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.1% 50% -11.2%
10% ← realistic here -19.6% 34% -19.7%
15% -27.4% 18% -27.4%
20% -34.5% 8% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 12% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
16% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late -1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.56 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.91 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

10d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses128 / 79
Open positions0
Markets (closed)207 / 207
History coverage10d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day40.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 207 Trades
no open positions (9 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -88%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$3 +241%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +129%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -41%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +114%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +27%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -40%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Up 69¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Up 86¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET SELL Up 7¢ $0 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET SELL Down 16¢ $0 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET SELL Down 70¢ $4 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $2 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 542 history records