Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T03:16:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E9 0xe93a…2f2a crypto 297 markets active 4h ago coverage 62d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$94 (+3%) realized +$94 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -16% what you keep after slip
Net edge-16%after slip
Net WR33%break-even
Win rate42%124W / 173L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$10per market
Trades / day14.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$39
7 days+$113
14 days+$95
30 days+$48
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$37
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-8.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 66 +12.8% +2.0% 44% 38% +5.0%
≤30d 242 +3.9% -6.0% 43% 34% -7.7%
≤90d 297 +1.0% -8.7% 42% 33% -10.6%
all 297 +1.0% -8.7% 42% 33% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover14.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.7% 33% -10.6%
10% -17.4% 25% -19.2%
15% -25.4% 20% -27.0%
20% -32.7% 16% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 14% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
19% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -6% → late +8% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$4 · ×1.31 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.94 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

62d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$94
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses124 / 173
Open positions0
Markets (closed)297 / 297
History coverage62d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day14.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 297 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 17 $10 +$9 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$2 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 17 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$5 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$5 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 17 $11 −$9 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 17 $21 +$42 +201%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$4 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$3 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$3 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$2 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 16 $11 −$4 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$4 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$6 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 15 $11 −$10 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 15 $11 −$7 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$9 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$3 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $21 −$8 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$2 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $21 −$4 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$12 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$3 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$7 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$6 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$5 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$21 +199%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$14 +130%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$18 +172%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$8 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$8 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$2 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$45 +213%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$8 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$2 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$4 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$10 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +49%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET SELL Up 87¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET SELL Up 87¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET SELL Up 87¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET SELL Up 87¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Down 44¢ $9 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET SELL Down 56¢ $11 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET SELL Down 28¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET SELL Down 70¢ $3 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET SELL Down 70¢ $5 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET SELL Down 70¢ $2 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET SELL Down 70¢ $5 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $10 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET SELL Up 4¢ $2 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $11 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET SELL Down 35¢ $2 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $10 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $11 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $4 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Up 37¢ $8 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET SELL Down 67¢ $0 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET SELL Down 67¢ $13 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET SELL Down 33¢ $8 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $10 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET SELL Up 17¢ $6 45h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 935 history records