Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T07:00:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E9 0xe92c…92eb crypto 56 markets active 6d ago coverage 2d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (90 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$24 (+2%) realized +$24 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -29% what you keep after slip
Net edge-29%after slip
Net WR41%break-even
Win rate50%28W / 28L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$18per market
Trades / day89.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$19
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (90 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-16.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 50 -2.5% -11.8% 54% 44% -9.2%
≤30d 56 -7.5% -16.3% 50% 41% -11.3%
≤90d 56 -7.5% -16.3% 50% 41% -11.3%
all 56 -7.5% -16.3% 50% 41% -11.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover89.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.3% 41% -11.3%
10% ← realistic here -24.3% 36% -19.8%
15% -31.6% 27% -27.5%
20% -38.3% 16% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 23% · top 2 34% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
18% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -7% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +8% → late -23% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.0 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$10 vs −$11 · ×0.94 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.94 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$24
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses28 / 28
Open positions0
Markets (closed)56 / 56
History coverage2d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day89.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 56 Trades
no open positions (14 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? Jun 11 $9 −$5 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $46 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 11 $25 −$25 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 11 $26 +$12 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 10 $24 +$6 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 10 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 10 $16 −$15 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 10 $15 +$4 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 10 $12 +$18 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 10 $12 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 10 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 10 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 10 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 10 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 10 $48 +$12 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 10 $24 +$6 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 10 $24 +$5 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$6 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 10 $17 +$3 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 10 $16 −$7 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 10 $17 −$5 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 10 $31 −$23 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 10 $8 −$8 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 10 $16 +$31 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 10 $31 +$9 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 10 $31 +$14 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 10 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 10 $47 −$22 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 10 $16 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 10 $31 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 10 $31 −$11 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 10 $31 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 10 $16 −$15 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 10 $11 +$5 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 10 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 10 $8 +$8 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 10 $31 +$13 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 10 $63 +$23 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $26 −$3 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 10 $16 +$67 +420%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 10 $10 −$5 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$7 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 10 $15 +$9 +60%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? SELL Down 29¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 56¢ $9 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11? BUY Up 86¢ $28 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $25 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $38 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $26 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $16 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $16 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $15 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $5 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $4 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $8 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET SELL Up 44¢ $13 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $8 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $6 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $0 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $0 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $4 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 166 history records