Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:10:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E9
0xe928…82fc
sports · 93 markets active 2h ago
7.5score
+$71 +25%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$71 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$40
Realized+$71
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses51 / 37
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions5
Markets (closed)88 / 93
History coverage43d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day2.2
Drawdown23%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 5 History 88 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$23
7 days+$45
14 days+$48
30 days+$68
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5 Under 54¢ 55¢ $19 $19 +$0 (+0%)
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) Philadelphia Phillies 49¢ 48¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-3%)
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5 Under 54¢ 54¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) Los Angeles Angels 51¢ 50¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 Under 49¢ 48¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins Atlanta Braves 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals Washington Nationals 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5 Under 54¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Athletics vs. Houston Astros Houston Astros 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5 Under 46¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles Toronto Blue Jays 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres San Diego Padres 41¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers 40¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 Under 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins Miami Marlins 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Athletics vs. Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5 Jun 11 $5 +$4 +93%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $8 +$5 +70%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5 Jun 11 $7 −$7 -99%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5 Jun 11 $14 +$14 +97%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5 Jun 11 $12 +$12 +93%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 Jun 10 $5 −$5 -98%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5 Jun 10 $12 +$10 +79%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5 Jun 10 $10 +$10 +97%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5 Jun 09 $6 +$5 +86%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $3 +$3 +114%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5 Jun 09 $4 +$4 +79%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5 Jun 08 $4 −$3 -98%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5 Jun 08 $9 −$9 -98%
Athletics vs. Houston Astros Jun 07 $1 −$1 -98%
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 07 $2 −$1 -98%
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 07 $2 −$2 -98%
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres Jun 07 $2 +$2 +105%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins Jun 06 $2 +$2 +114%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 06 $2 +$2 +90%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 06 $1 +$1 +93%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers Jun 06 $3 +$3 +114%
Athletics vs. Houston Astros Jun 06 $2 +$2 +97%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins Jun 05 $3 −$3 -98%
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 04 $2 −$2 -98%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros Jun 04 $4 +$5 +134%
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 03 $3 +$3 +134%
Athletics vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 03 $1 −$1 -99%
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals Jun 03 $1 −$1 -98%
Athletics vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 01 $1 −$1 -99%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 01 $1 −$1 -99%
Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals Jun 01 $2 −$2 -98%
Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers Jun 01 $2 +$1 +90%
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals Jun 01 $1 +$1 +101%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles May 31 $1 −$1 -98%
Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians May 31 $1 −$1 -98%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles May 30 $1 +$1 +109%
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox May 30 $1 +$1 +97%
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals May 30 $2 −$2 -98%
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox May 30 $1 +$1 +105%
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals May 30 $3 +$3 +119%
Thunder vs. Spurs May 29 $7 +$4 +65%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers May 28 $1 −$1 -99%
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox May 28 $1 +$1 +105%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers May 28 $1 +$1 +86%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants May 27 $1 −$1 -98%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres May 27 $3 −$3 -98%
Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays May 27 $3 +$2 +73%
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox May 26 $1 −$1 -98%
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates May 26 $1 −$1 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% +$71
other 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 49¢ $4 1h
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) BUY Los Angeles Angels 51¢ $4 1h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 54¢ $6 1h
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) BUY Philadelphia Phillies 49¢ $7 1h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5 BUY Under 54¢ $19 1h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 38¢ $5 26h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 58¢ $4 26h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 58¢ $4 26h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5 BUY Under 51¢ $5 26h
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5 BUY Under 54¢ $7 26h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 47¢ $5 2d
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5 BUY Under 51¢ $12 2d
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5 BUY Under 50¢ $14 2d
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5 BUY Under 50¢ $10 2d
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5 BUY Under 55¢ $12 2d
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5 BUY Over 50¢ $4 4d
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 55¢ $4 4d
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 53¢ $6 4d
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5 BUY Under 46¢ $9 4d
Athletics vs. Houston Astros BUY Houston Astros 51¢ $1 5d
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers BUY Seattle Mariners 49¢ $2 5d
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY Minnesota Twins 50¢ $2 5d
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY Toronto Blue Jays 51¢ $1 6d
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves BUY Atlanta Braves 52¢ $2 6d
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres BUY San Diego Padres 48¢ $2 6d
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins BUY Miami Marlins 46¢ $2 6d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 46¢ $3 6d
Athletics vs. Houston Astros BUY Houston Astros 50¢ $2 7d
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers BUY Texas Rangers 46¢ $3 7d
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins BUY Miami Marlins 45¢ $3 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)+2.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 +27.1% +15.0% 65% 65% +24.6%
≤30d 79 +12.8% +2.0% 57% 57% +18.3%
≤90d 88 +12.9% +2.1% 58% 58% +17.0%
all 88 +12.9% +2.1% 58% 58% +17.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +2.1% 58% +17.0%
10% -7.6% 58% +5.8%
15% -16.6% 58% -4.4%
20% -24.7% 57% -13.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $40.01 · official $40.01 (match) · 148 history records