Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T00:47:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E9 0xe920…95fb crypto 40 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ net negative once open positions are counted! high turnover
Total PnL −$1 (-1%) realized +$3 · open −$4
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate97%38W / 1L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$3per market
Trades / day42.0pace
Kalshi-fit85%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 83% −$5
other 17% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-10.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 39 -1.3% -10.7% 97% 0% -10.1%
≤30d 39 -1.3% -10.7% 97% 0% -10.1%
≤90d 39 -1.3% -10.7% 97% 0% -10.1%
all 39 -1.3% -10.7% 97% 0% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover42.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.7% 0% -10.1%
10% ← realistic here -19.3% 0% -18.7%
15% -27.1% 0% -26.5%
20% -34.2% 0% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 11% · top 2 19% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -4% → late +2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$2 · ×0.02 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.68 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$3
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses38 / 1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)39 / 40
History coverage1d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day42.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit85%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 39 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 1 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 17 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 17 $4 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 17 $4 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 17 $4 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 17 $4 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 17 $4 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 16 $4 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 16 $4 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 16 $4 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +3%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $4 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $4 14m
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $4 23m
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $4 34m
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $4 38m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $4 38m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $4 43m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $4 57m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET SELL Down 100¢ $3 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET SELL Up 100¢ $3 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $3 4h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $3 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 4h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 5h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 78 history records