Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:29:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E9
0xe917…9612
tech · 35 markets active 1h ago
3.5score
+$6,084 +16%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$4,606 · open +$566
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY tech specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5,462
Realized+$4,606
Unrealized+$566
Win rate (resolved)82%
Wins / losses23 / 5
Whale WR (big bets)86%
Open positions7
Markets (closed)28 / 35
History coverage50d
Avg bet$1,079
Trades / day21.5
Drawdown6%
Kalshi-fit57%
Chart Positions 7 History 28 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days+$789
14 days+$2,973
30 days+$4,085
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes 7¢ 9¢ $2,619 $3,332 +$713 (+27%)
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes 13¢ 16¢ $774 $936 +$162 (+21%)
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? Yes 4¢ 3¢ $749 $588 −$160 (-21%)
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? Yes 5¢ 4¢ $335 $268 −$68 (-20%)
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? Yes 3¢ 2¢ $233 $150 −$84 (-36%)
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? No 94¢ 97¢ $100 $103 +$3 (+3%)
SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day Down 43¢ 42¢ $86 $85 −$1 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap Jun 10 $1,714 −$1 -0%
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on Jun 05 $2,921 +$790 +27%
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap Jun 05 $610 +$133 +22%
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on Jun 03 $299 +$33 +11%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 01 $2,007 +$153 +8%
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap May 29 $2,800 +$1,490 +53%
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 29 $1,501 +$374 +25%
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 29 $1,756 +$1,274 +72%
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on De May 28 $72 −$15 -21%
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap o May 22 $146 −$91 -63%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May May 21 $539 −$153 -28%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 3 May 20 $207 +$98 +47%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31 May 12 $45 +$5 +10%
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 3 May 05 $199 $0 -0%
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 05 $0 $0 +90%
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap May 01 $37 +$1 +4%
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $650b and $660b on April 30? May 01 $223 +$282 +126%
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on April 30? May 01 $32 +$58 +184%
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $600b and $610b on April 30? May 01 $3 $0 +1%
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $600b on April 30? May 01 $129 +$1 +1%
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $670b on April 30? May 01 $1,928 +$130 +7%
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on Apr 30 $867 +$7 +1%
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap Apr 30 $509 +$3 +1%
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap Apr 30 $143 +$1 +1%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April Apr 29 $2,563 +$9 +0%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decem Apr 29 $26 +$1 +4%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June Apr 29 $0 $0 +10%
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on Apr 28 $5 +$23 +452%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 48% +$2,040
tech 47% +$2,979
crypto 5% +$153
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day BUY Down 43¢ $86 1h
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 3 BUY Yes 1¢ $3 3h
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 3 BUY Yes 2¢ $0 4h
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 3 BUY Yes 2¢ $1 6h
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Jun SELL Yes 4¢ $131 6h
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Jun SELL Yes 4¢ $47 6h
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Jun SELL Yes 4¢ $64 6h
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Jun SELL Yes 4¢ $11 6h
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Jun SELL Yes 4¢ $1 10h
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Jun SELL Yes 4¢ $0 11h
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Jun SELL Yes 4¢ $4 11h
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Jun SELL Yes 4¢ $3 11h
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Jun SELL Yes 4¢ $1 12h
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap o BUY Yes 3¢ $0 18h
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on BUY No 94¢ $100 18h
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap o BUY Yes 3¢ $1 19h
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap o BUY Yes 3¢ $1 21h
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Jun SELL Yes 4¢ $1 25h
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap o BUY Yes 3¢ $0 26h
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap o BUY Yes 3¢ $0 27h
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap o BUY Yes 4¢ $7 35h
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap o BUY Yes 4¢ $4 35h
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap o BUY Yes 3¢ $9 44h
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap SELL Yes 36¢ $62 45h
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Jun BUY Yes 3¢ $1 47h
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Jun BUY Yes 3¢ $1 47h
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Jun BUY Yes 3¢ $1 47h
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Jun BUY Yes 3¢ $1 47h
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 3 BUY Yes 2¢ $65 47h
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Jun BUY Yes 3¢ $2 47h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)+24.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 +13.5% +2.7% 50% 50% +5.9%
≤30d 12 +12.8% +2.1% 67% 58% +15.8%
≤90d 28 +37.3% +24.2% 82% 39% +10.1%
all 28 +37.3% +24.2% 82% 39% +10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover21.5 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +24.2% 39% +10.1%
10% +12.3% 32% -0.5%
15% ← realistic here +1.5% 25% -10.1%
20% -8.5% 21% -18.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5,461.50 · official $5,461.50 (match) · 1122 history records