Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:41:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E9
0xe911…3d4e
sports · 611 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$32,899 -26%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$32,918 · open −$640
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$9,693
Realized−$32,918
Unrealized−$640
Win rate (resolved)31%
Wins / losses236 / 528
Whale WR (big bets)51%
Est. fees paid−$1,452
Open positions80
Markets (closed)764 / 611
History coverage2d
Avg bet$206
Trades / day1399.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 80 History 764 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$32,906
7 days−$32,918
14 days−$32,918
30 days−$32,918
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BetBoom Team 84¢ 100¢ $1,761 $2,100 +$339 (+19%)
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team - Map 1 Winner Ursa 58¢ 100¢ $694 $1,206 +$512 (+74%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner 9z 41¢ 100¢ $418 $1,015 +$597 (+143%)
Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 83¢ 84¢ $603 $606 +$4 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Aurora Gaming 71¢ 100¢ $276 $389 +$113 (+41%)
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Filippo Romano 63¢ 80¢ $307 $386 +$79 (+26%)
Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election? Yes 88¢ 55¢ $582 $362 −$220 (-38%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 58¢ 68¢ $248 $295 +$46 (+19%)
Will Dakarai Larriett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama? No 82¢ 93¢ $216 $244 +$28 (+13%)
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) Boston Red Sox 67¢ 54¢ $291 $232 −$59 (-20%)
Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election? Yes 29¢ 42¢ $160 $232 +$72 (+45%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BetBoom Team 70¢ 100¢ $157 $223 +$67 (+43%)
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner Team Vitality 87¢ 100¢ $182 $208 +$26 (+14%)
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage GenOne 78¢ 100¢ $156 $200 +$44 (+29%)
ITF San Gregorio: Dunja Maric vs Nadia Podoroska Nadia Podoroska 66¢ 100¢ $118 $178 +$60 (+51%)
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. KT Wiz Lotte Giants 53¢ 52¢ $168 $162 −$6 (-4%)
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter Elena Rybakina 62¢ 73¢ $130 $153 +$23 (+18%)
Will Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 90¢ 94¢ $144 $150 +$6 (+4%)
Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 17¢ 18¢ $133 $144 +$11 (+8%)
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. SSG Landers SSG Landers 41¢ 50¢ $106 $129 +$23 (+21%)
Will Czechia finish last in Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? Yes 16¢ 23¢ $88 $125 +$37 (+41%)
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 88¢ 90¢ $97 $100 +$3 (+3%)
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage Ursa 81¢ 66¢ $96 $78 −$17 (-18%)
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports - Map 1 Winner OLDBOYS- 71¢ 64¢ $77 $69 −$8 (-10%)
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Eintracht Spandau 25¢ 35¢ $46 $65 +$19 (+40%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Elche CF vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $137 −$137 -100%
Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Turma do Pagode (BO3) - CCT South America Se Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-04-18? Jun 12 $6 −$7 -106%
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-02-15? Jun 12 $183 −$184 -100%
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-01-13? Jun 12 $74 −$120 -163%
Adelaide International, Qualification: Jesper de Jong vs Thiago Agusti Jun 12 $1,495 −$1,583 -106%
Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-03-08? Jun 12 $77 −$85 -111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Set 1 Winner: Korneeva vs Riera Jun 12 $46 −$46 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $75 −$76 -100%
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5 Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-01-20? Jun 12 $129 −$133 -103%
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-02-07? Jun 12 $62 −$62 -100%
Arsenal FC leading at halftime? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Tōkyō Verdy win on 2026-05-24? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Leeds United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $23 −$35 -154%
New Delhi: Alexandr Binda vs Denis Yevseyev Jun 12 $316 −$316 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 20, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $238 −$238 -100%
Dota 2: Looking for Org vs BTC Gaming (BO3) Jun 12 $2 −$21 -852%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Mandel Nallo vs. Jai Herbert (Lightweight, Main Card) Jun 12 $1,446 −$1,473 -102%
XRP Up or Down - March 23, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-04? Jun 12 $23 −$37 -160%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $44 −$44 -100%
Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-01-31? Jun 12 $38 −$38 -100%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Oh My God (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qu Jun 12 $29 −$29 -100%
Newcastle United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $63 −$73 -117%
Spread: EC Bahia (-1.5) Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
ITF Kayseri: Ksenia Smirnova vs Mariia Bergen Jun 12 $0 +$1 +282%
Will NEOM SC win on 2026-01-14? Jun 12 $36 −$68 -188%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $0 −$3 -3399%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2 Jun 12 $4 −$7 -175%
New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO3) - FERJEE In House Play Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Magic vs. Cavaliers Jun 12 $195 −$195 -100%
UMBC Retrievers vs. NJIT Highlanders: O/U 140.5 Jun 12 $1 −$7 -582%
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5 Jun 12 $46 −$46 -100%
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Liquid - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $62 −$62 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $60 −$60 -100%
Spread: Thunder (-14.5) Jun 12 $115 −$115 -100%
Shenzhen Leopards vs. Ningbo Rockets Jun 12 $3 −$32 -979%
Stars vs. Ducks Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $51 −$51 -100%
North Alabama Lions vs. West Georgia Wolves Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-03-11? Jun 12 $42 −$48 -114%
Lafayette Leopards vs. Colgate Raiders Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
ITF Cuiaba: Catarina Melleiro vs Marian Gomez Pezuela Cano Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 89% +$9,804
other 11% −$896
crypto 0% $0
world 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Rainbow Six Siege: Cloud9 vs 100 Thieves (BO1) - North America League BUY 100 Thieves 38¢ $4 3m
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Ursa 24¢ $2 5m
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY OLDBOYS- 72¢ $77 9m
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ BUY Donstu Esports 17¢ $1 11m
Will Jordan Pickford win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $3 13m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 87¢ $11 13m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 13¢ $3 13m
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY Donstu Esports 15¢ $2 17m
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY Donstu Esports 15¢ $8 17m
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY Donstu Esports 15¢ $4 17m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Anubis Gaming 51¢ $0 17m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Anubis Gaming 51¢ $1 17m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 82¢ $7 19m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 84¢ $14 19m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 82¢ $8 19m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 82¢ $5 19m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 82¢ $206 19m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 85¢ $6 19m
ITF Los Angeles: Kristina Penickova vs Alina Shcherbinina BUY Alina Shcherbinina 34¢ $17 21m
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner BUY Karmine Corp Blue 60¢ $7 21m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 31¢ $0 21m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 30¢ $4 21m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 26¢ $5 21m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 20¢ $14 21m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 20¢ $2 21m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 19¢ $20 21m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Anubis Gaming 75¢ $36 24m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner SELL Spirit 4¢ $0 24m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner SELL Spirit 4¢ $3 24m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner SELL Spirit 4¢ $1 24m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-36.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 764 -29.6% -36.3% 31% 26% -27.8%
≤30d 764 -29.6% -36.3% 31% 26% -27.8%
≤90d 764 -29.6% -36.3% 31% 26% -27.8%
all 764 -29.6% -36.3% 31% 26% -27.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1399.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -36.3% 26% -27.8%
10% ← realistic here -42.4% 20% -34.7%
15% -48.0% 18% -41.0%
20% -53.1% 14% -46.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9,693.16 · official $9,684.93 (match) · 3500 history records