Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:08:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E9
0xe90f…fc77
crypto · 20 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$8 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4 · open +$13
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$28
Realized−$4
Unrealized+$13
Win rate (resolved)28%
Wins / losses5 / 13
Open positions2
Markets (closed)18 / 20
History coverage1d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day46.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 18 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$4
14 days−$4
30 days−$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET Down 12¢ 26¢ $11 $23 +$12 (+107%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Up 34¢ 42¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+25%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -93%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$7 -55%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$6 -51%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$5 -42%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$11 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$5 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$2 -10%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$10 +46%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET Jun 12 $33 +$24 +74%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$2 -19%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$9 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$13 +242%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$25 +453%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $4 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 11m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $11 21m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET SELL Up 17¢ $6 29m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $2 35m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $11 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $11 40m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET SELL Down 13¢ $5 54m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $11 54m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET SELL Up 19¢ $6 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET SELL Down 9¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $11 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $11 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET SELL Down 41¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $11 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $11 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $17 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $11 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET SELL Up 43¢ $15 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $11 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET SELL Up 33¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET SELL Down 58¢ $19 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $11 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $11 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $52 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET SELL Up 9¢ $5 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-4.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 18 +6.0% -4.1% 28% 28% -11.3%
≤30d 18 +6.0% -4.1% 28% 28% -11.3%
≤90d 18 +6.0% -4.1% 28% 28% -11.3%
all 18 +6.0% -4.1% 28% 28% -11.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover46.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.1% 28% -11.3%
10% ← realistic here -13.3% 28% -19.8%
15% -21.7% 28% -27.5%
20% -29.3% 22% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $27.75 · official $25.16 · 52 history records