Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T15:50:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E9 0xe90a…f6b5 sports 260 markets active 2d ago coverage 37d ⚠
BOTnot copyable sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 37d only
✗ bot/MM pace (93 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$200 (+1%) realized +$200 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR41%break-even
Win rate51%133W / 127L
Whale WR20%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$121per market
Trades / day92.7pace
Fees−$556est.
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$269
7 days−$152
14 days−$218
30 days−$195
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 99% −$157
other 1% −$141
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (93 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-10.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 34 +6.1% -4.0% 47% 38% -11.9%
≤30d 96 +1.2% -8.4% 50% 41% -9.9%
≤90d 260 -1.2% -10.6% 51% 41% -9.9%
all 260 -1.2% -10.6% 51% 41% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover92.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.6% 41% -9.9%
10% ← realistic here -19.1% 31% -18.6%
15% -27.0% 18% -26.4%
20% -34.1% 10% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
20% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 20% (≥$500) big bets weaker
Persistence
early +0% → late -3% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
10.6 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$21 vs −$24 · ×0.86 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.9 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

37d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$200
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses133 / 127
Whale WR (big bets)20%
Est. fees paid−$556
Open positions0
Markets (closed)260 / 260
History coverage37d ⚠
Avg bet$121
Trades / day92.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 260 Trades
no open positions (36 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $231 −$115 -50%
Spread: Spain (-1.5) Jun 15 $300 −$184 -61%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Jun 15 $44 +$30 +69%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $9 −$9 -95%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $60 −$18 -30%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $20 −$2 -10%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $296 +$6 +2%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $216 +$66 +31%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $90 +$56 +62%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $88 −$22 -25%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $357 −$8 -2%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $444 +$27 +6%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $15 +$90 +603%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $79 +$16 +21%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $40 −$39 -99%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $140 −$73 -52%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $111 +$69 +62%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $2 −$1 -40%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $466 −$81 -17%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $48 +$17 +36%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $46 +$18 +39%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $542 −$29 -5%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $164 −$67 -41%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $36 −$2 -5%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $75 −$16 -22%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $107 +$65 +60%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $81 +$35 +43%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $377 +$8 +2%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $414 −$40 -10%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $71 −$13 -18%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $170 +$32 +19%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $230 +$24 +11%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $34 +$8 +24%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $346 −$32 -9%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $50 −$8 -16%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $121 +$77 +63%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $98 +$36 +37%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $70 −$5 -8%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $8 $0 +5%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $548 −$128 -23%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $133 +$78 +59%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $163 −$8 -5%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $234 +$17 +7%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 08 $1,309 −$93 -7%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $35 +$8 +24%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $63 −$1 -1%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $179 −$18 -10%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $200 +$35 +18%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $19 −$2 -10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 52¢ $111 46h
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? SELL Yes 57¢ $113 46h
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 59¢ $120 46h
Spread: Spain (-1.5) SELL Spain 20¢ $116 46h
Spread: Spain (-1.5) BUY Spain 50¢ $199 46h
Spread: Spain (-1.5) BUY Spain 49¢ $29 47h
Spread: Spain (-1.5) BUY Spain 51¢ $16 47h
Spread: Spain (-1.5) BUY Spain 51¢ $14 47h
Spread: Spain (-1.5) BUY Spain 55¢ $42 47h
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 66¢ $15 2d
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 58¢ $8 2d
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 57¢ $8 2d
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 53¢ $13 2d
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 1¢ $0 2d
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 2 Winner SELL 9z 32¢ $4 2d
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 35¢ $5 2d
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 2 Winner SELL 9z 32¢ $1 2d
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 2 Winner SELL 9z 38¢ $38 2d
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 46¢ $5 2d
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 55¢ $15 2d
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 54¢ $20 2d
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 53¢ $15 2d
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 19¢ $4 2d
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 19¢ $5 2d
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 19¢ $0 2d
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner SELL BetBoom Team 29¢ $18 2d
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 31¢ $10 2d
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 31¢ $10 2d
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 1 Winner SELL Aurora Gaming 96¢ $80 3d
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 1 Winner SELL Aurora Gaming 96¢ $222 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records