Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:37:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E9
0xe907…cff6
sports · 294 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$32,546 -42%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,509 · open −$34,482
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$1,144,775
Realized+$1,509
Unrealized−$34,482
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses33 / 48
Whale WR (big bets)44%
Est. fees paid−$198
Open positions436
Markets (closed)81 / 294
Avg bet$263
Trades / day3415.0
Drawdown98%
Kalshi-fit73%
Chart Positions 436 History 81 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,509
7 days+$1,509
14 days+$1,509
30 days+$1,509
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? Yes 92¢ 90¢ $107,823 $106,071 −$1,752 (-2%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $94,871 $89,927 −$4,944 (-5%)
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 61¢ 81¢ $50,354 $67,450 +$17,096 (+34%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 49¢ 48¢ $63,216 $61,882 −$1,334 (-2%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 11¢ $52,170 $61,318 +$9,148 (+18%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $58,183 $59,143 +$961 (+2%)
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $49,460 $50,231 +$771 (+2%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $50,443 $47,294 −$3,149 (-6%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 54¢ $46,086 $46,025 −$62 (-0%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $26,288 $24,800 −$1,488 (-6%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 9¢ $23,297 $23,988 +$691 (+3%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $19,925 $23,152 +$3,228 (+16%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $19,005 $18,659 −$346 (-2%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 35¢ 19¢ $26,470 $14,330 −$12,140 (-46%)
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Yes 83¢ 89¢ $12,377 $13,261 +$883 (+7%)
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $8,942 $9,868 +$926 (+10%)
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $8,873 $9,146 +$273 (+3%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 60¢ $8,412 $8,462 +$49 (+1%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes 72¢ 76¢ $7,708 $8,089 +$381 (+5%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes 39¢ 44¢ $6,466 $7,375 +$910 (+14%)
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Yes 50¢ 49¢ $7,104 $6,971 −$134 (-2%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? Yes 98¢ 97¢ $6,858 $6,803 −$55 (-1%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Yes 94¢ 94¢ $6,664 $6,664 +$0 (+0%)
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June? No 79¢ 97¢ $4,673 $5,757 +$1,084 (+23%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? Yes 54¢ 58¢ $5,312 $5,748 +$436 (+8%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Valorant: STREAMER ARENA vs LAZER (BO3) - VCL Latin America North: Reg Jun 12 $146 +$177 +121%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $781 −$115 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $140 +$96 +69%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $173 −$52 -30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$9 +33%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Marco Cecchinato Jun 12 $29 +$41 +141%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $212 −$75 -36%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Jun 12 $10 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Jun 12 $82 −$57 -70%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $444 −$55 -12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $154 +$80 +52%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Gabriela Ruse Jun 12 $10 +$88 +913%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$14 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $374 +$44 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $347 −$134 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $879 +$529 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $192 +$152 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $292 −$121 -42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $47 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Jun 12 $880 −$265 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$7 -43%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $20 −$19 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $514 −$21 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $222 +$85 +38%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Jun 12 $42 −$17 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $651 +$148 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $210 −$129 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $630 −$105 -17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $38 −$3 -9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $198 +$42 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $307 +$254 +83%
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 G Jun 12 $32 −$31 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $188 −$137 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $761 +$148 +20%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $48 +$310 +650%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$11 +148%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $669 +$341 +51%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $291 −$70 -24%
Set 1 Winner: Zhang vs Mannarino Jun 12 $8 +$7 +95%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 13? Jun 12 $3 $0 -14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $219 −$218 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $118 −$73 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $930 +$510 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $405 −$405 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $730 −$56 -8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $273 +$12 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$2 -42%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 90% −$31,852
crypto 6% +$942
sports 3% +$110
world 0% −$111
finance 0% +$27
tech 0% −$113
weather 0% −$2
economics 0% −$2,153
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $6 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $42 0m
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $20 0m
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $10 0m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 21¢ $2 0m
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 11¢ $5 0m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 47¢ $10 0m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FURIA 97¢ $29 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $11 0m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Monte 46¢ $10 0m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $78 0m
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 16¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $10 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $2 1m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $4 1m
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 11¢ $10 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Up 33¢ $2 1m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 46¢ $10 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $3 1m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $3 1m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $8 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $3 1m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 48¢ $10 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $10 1m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $10 1m
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 14¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $20 1m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 60¢ $5 1m
Exact Score: Canada 3 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 5¢ $49 1m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)+57.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 81 +73.7% +57.2% 41% 37% -15.1%
≤30d 81 +73.7% +57.2% 41% 37% -15.1%
≤90d 81 +73.7% +57.2% 41% 37% -15.1%
all 81 +73.7% +57.2% 41% 37% -15.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3415.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +57.2% 37% -15.1%
10% ← realistic here +42.1% 30% -23.2%
15% +28.4% 26% -30.6%
20% +15.8% 23% -37.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,144,775.15 · official $1,162,499.45 · 3500 history records