Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T17:44:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E9 0xe906…893a crypto 858 markets active 3d ago coverage 61d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$106 (-0%) realized −$106 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -10% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -31% what you keep after slip
Net edge-31%after slip
Net WR41%break-even
Win rate54%462W / 396L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$32per market
Trades / day46.5pace
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$96
14 days−$96
30 days−$699
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$1,200
other 0% −$33
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-19.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 47 -25.4% -32.5% 49% 47% -22.3%
≤30d 496 -13.2% -21.5% 48% 37% -14.9%
≤90d 858 -10.5% -19.0% 54% 41% -13.6%
all 858 -10.5% -19.0% 54% 41% -13.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover46.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.0% 41% -13.6%
10% ← realistic here -26.8% 29% -21.8%
15% -33.9% 20% -29.4%
20% -40.4% 14% -36.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
22% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -11% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -9% → late -12% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.9 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$10 vs −$14 · ×0.67 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.78 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

61d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$106
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses462 / 396
Open positions0
Markets (closed)858 / 858
History coverage61d
Avg bet$32
Trades / day46.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 858 Trades
no open positions (220 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $23 +$6 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$19 +178%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$9 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$18 +172%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $32 +$8 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$5 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$9 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $36 +$6 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$7 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 11 $12 −$11 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$5 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $13 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 11 $16 −$4 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 11 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 11 $23 −$16 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 11 $21 +$6 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 11 $21 −$13 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 11 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 11 $31 +$8 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$4 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 11 $21 −$7 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +14%
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET May 31 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET May 31 $10 −$10 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET May 31 $25 −$25 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $26 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET SELL Down 88¢ $6 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $23 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $29 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $16 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $11 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $28 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $11 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $21 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $7 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $25 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $25 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $30 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $25 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $15 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $10 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3113 history records