Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:13:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E9
0xe904…01dc
crypto · 56 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$17 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5 · open −$12
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$32
Realized−$5
Unrealized−$12
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses20 / 32
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions4
Markets (closed)52 / 56
History coverage1d
Avg bet$76
Trades / day176.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 4 History 52 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$5
14 days−$5
30 days−$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 27¢ 26¢ $14 $14 −$0 (-1%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 19¢ 18¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 21¢ 16¢ $10 $8 −$2 (-21%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-96%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $205 $0 −$205 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $125 $0 −$125 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $154 +$87 +57%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $10 +$12 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $306 +$124 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $306 +$71 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $108 +$57 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $209 +$72 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $237 −$205 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $272 +$134 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $83 −$80 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $58 +$128 +219%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $21 +$155 +755%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $36 +$15 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -95%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $51 −$2 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $79 −$75 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $102 +$61 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $99 −$50 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$10 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$11 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$6 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $159 −$150 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $260 −$109 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $156 −$150 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $73 −$70 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$15 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $208 +$257 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $111 −$107 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $174 +$162 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $43 −$41 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$27 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$5 +20%
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 13 $10 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $130 −$125 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $79 −$75 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$7 +126%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$8 +149%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $107 −$5 -5%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet Jun 13 $200 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 92% −$169
economics 5% $0
sports 2% +$166
other 2% −$14
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 21¢ $10 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $241 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $51 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $52 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $52 13m
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 27¢ $10 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $430 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $51 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $51 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $51 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $51 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $51 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $26 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $26 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $362 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET SELL Up 16¢ $9 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET SELL Up 16¢ $5 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET SELL Up 25¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $51 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $51 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $51 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $51 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $26 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $51 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $26 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $5 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $5 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $165 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $5 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $51 37m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-17.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 52 -9.1% -17.8% 38% 38% -9.6%
≤30d 52 -9.1% -17.8% 38% 38% -9.6%
≤90d 52 -9.1% -17.8% 38% 38% -9.6%
all 52 -9.1% -17.8% 38% 38% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover176.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.8% 38% -9.6%
10% ← realistic here -25.6% 37% -18.3%
15% -32.8% 33% -26.2%
20% -39.4% 21% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $31.87 · official $31.87 (match) · 186 history records