Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:12:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E9
0xe903…f8e1
sports · 205 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$689 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$681 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$543
Realized−$681
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses101 / 91
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions13
Markets (closed)192 / 205
History coverage204d
Avg bet$71
Trades / day2.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit67%
Chart Positions 13 History 192 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$2
14 days−$2
30 days−$9
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $123 $124 +$1 (+1%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $123 $124 +$1 (+1%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $81 $73 −$8 (-10%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 11¢ $60 $67 +$7 (+12%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $61 $55 −$5 (-9%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 7¢ $29 $26 −$3 (-12%)
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $15 $18 +$3 (+23%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score Yes 53¢ 52¢ $16 $16 −$0 (-1%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $13 $13 −$0 (-3%)
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $8 $10 +$3 (+33%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Over 48¢ 46¢ $10 $10 −$1 (-5%)
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-14%)
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $4 $2 −$2 (-58%)
Will FC Famalicão vs. CF Estrela da Amadora end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Beşiktaş JK: Both Teams to Score Yes 57¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Crystal Palace FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score Yes 56¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Córdoba CF vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 3.5 Over 62¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Score Yes 49¢ 0¢ $120 $0 −$120 (-100%)
Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: Both Teams to Score Yes 31¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Valorant: MIBR vs G2 Esports - Map 1 Winner MIBR 22¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 1.5 Over 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-03? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Score Yes 44¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07? Yes 41¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend JD Gaming 32¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $3 −$1 -25%
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $8 −$1 -10%
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5 May 20 $2 +$2 +101%
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20? May 20 $8 +$5 +67%
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score May 20 $11 −$11 -98%
Will Córdoba CF vs. Albacete Balompié end in a draw? May 15 $5 −$5 -98%
Córdoba CF vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 3.5 May 15 $9 −$9 -99%
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5 May 15 $15 +$14 +94%
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score May 15 $3 +$2 +63%
Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: Both Teams to Score May 15 $5 −$5 -98%
Çaykur Rizespor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 2.5 May 15 $4 −$2 -60%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 May 15 $1 +$1 +105%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs May 15 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET May 14 $1 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET May 14 $3 −$1 -38%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend May 14 $20 −$20 -99%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B May 14 $14 +$1 +6%
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Beşiktaş JK: Both Teams to Score Apr 05 $24 −$24 -99%
NK Celje vs. FC Drita: O/U 2.5 Feb 27 $25 +$15 +59%
NK Celje vs. FC Drita: Both Teams to Score Feb 27 $29 +$26 +88%
ACF Fiorentina vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: Both Teams to Score Feb 26 $100 −$100 -100%
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Score Feb 19 $120 −$120 -100%
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5 Feb 19 $40 +$46 +115%
SK Brann vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to Score Feb 19 $12 −$12 -100%
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-19? Feb 19 $31 −$31 -100%
Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Score Feb 18 $45 −$45 -100%
Club Brugge KV vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5 Feb 18 $15 +$11 +76%
Club Brugge KV vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score Feb 18 $15 +$10 +69%
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5 Feb 18 $10 +$14 +138%
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Score Feb 18 $39 +$23 +59%
AC Milan vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5 Feb 18 $10 −$10 -100%
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Score Feb 18 $42 +$29 +69%
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5 Feb 17 $40 −$40 -100%
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score Feb 17 $60 −$60 -100%
Galatasaray SK vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Score Feb 17 $75 +$54 +72%
Galatasaray SK vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5 Feb 17 $27 +$24 +90%
Will Rio Ave FC vs. Moreirense FC end in a draw? Feb 16 $6 −$6 -100%
Girona FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5 Feb 16 $37 +$27 +72%
Will Girona FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw? Feb 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-16? Feb 16 $33 +$15 +47%
Girona FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score Feb 16 $19 +$15 +78%
Will Macclesfield FC win on 2026-02-16? Feb 16 $4 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group St Feb 16 $27 −$27 -100%
Kasımpaşa SK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: Both Teams to Score Feb 16 $9 +$18 +203%
Kasımpaşa SK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 2.5 Feb 16 $9 +$21 +233%
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-02-15? Feb 15 $78 +$56 +72%
Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-02-15? Feb 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Will RCD Mallorca vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw? Feb 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-15? Feb 15 $53 +$51 +97%
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5 Feb 15 $25 +$30 +121%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 51% −$730
sports 49% +$65
crypto 0% −$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Over 48¢ $10 45m
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 7¢ $10 46m
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 53¢ $17 1h
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 5¢ $7 1h
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $2 1h
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 2¢ $8 1h
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 10¢ $8 15h
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 3¢ $5 15h
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 10¢ $15 20h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $20 20h
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $21 20h
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 8¢ $8 20h
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $12 20h
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $5 20h
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $5 20h
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 9¢ $5 2d
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $6 2d
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 9¢ $5 2d
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $21 2d
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $20 2d
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $3 2d
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 5¢ $21 2d
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 9¢ $21 2d
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $4 3d
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 9¢ $4 3d
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $15 3d
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $21 3d
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $20 3d
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $5 3d
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $8 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -17.5% -25.4% 0% 0% -22.4%
≤30d 12 -5.4% -14.4% 42% 42% -20.5%
≤90d 18 -18.3% -26.1% 39% 33% -44.8%
all 192 -0.0% -9.5% 53% 51% -14.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.5% 51% -14.0%
10% -18.2% 51% -22.2%
15% -26.1% 47% -29.7%
20% -33.3% 43% -36.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $542.94 · official $542.99 (match) · 467 history records