Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:16:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E8 0xe8fc…b2cc crypto 1118 markets active 1h ago coverage 32d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 32d only
✗ bot/MM pace (65 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$1,114 (+3%) realized +$1,114 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR57%break-even
Win rate84%941W / 177L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$34per market
Trades / day64.9pace
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$100
7 days+$328
14 days+$611
30 days−$493
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 96% +$418
politics 4% −$38
economics 0% −$1
world 0% −$1
other 0% +$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (65 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 187 +6.3% -3.8% 88% 48% -5.4%
≤30d 965 -2.9% -12.1% 82% 53% -10.8%
≤90d 1118 +0.3% -9.3% 84% 57% -8.6%
all 1118 +0.3% -9.3% 84% 57% -8.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover64.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.3% 57% -8.6%
10% ← realistic here -17.9% 24% -17.4%
15% -25.9% 2% -25.3%
20% -33.1% 1% -32.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 0% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
31% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +19% → late -19% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$27 · ×0.2 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.08 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

32d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,114
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)84%
Wins / losses941 / 177
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1118 / 1118
History coverage32d ⚠
Avg bet$34
Trades / day64.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1118 Trades
no open positions (28 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 17 $50 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 17 $29 +$7 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 17 $48 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 17 $33 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 17 $47 +$5 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 17 $31 +$5 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 17 $41 +$11 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 17 $41 −$41 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 17 $49 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 17 $45 +$7 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 17 $49 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 17 $45 +$7 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 17 $42 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 16 $33 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 16 $41 +$11 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 16 $50 +$2 +4%
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21? Jun 16 $2 $0 -13%
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? Jun 16 $2 $0 -15%
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? Jun 16 $2 $0 -17%
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? Jun 16 $2 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 16 $43 +$9 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 16 $41 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 16 $47 +$5 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 16 $46 +$6 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 16 $41 +$11 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 16 $43 −$43 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 16 $48 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 16 $41 +$11 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 16 $19 −$19 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 16 $22 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 16 $42 +$10 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 16 $44 +$8 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 16 $43 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 16 $40 +$4 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 16 $46 +$6 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 16 $47 +$5 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 16 $47 +$5 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 16 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 16 $43 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 16 $42 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 16 $50 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 16 $46 +$6 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 16 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 16 $45 +$7 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 16 $47 +$5 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 16 $47 +$5 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 15 $45 +$7 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 15 $45 +$7 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 15 $22 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 15 $45 +$7 +16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $50 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $29 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $48 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $33 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $47 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $31 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $41 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $41 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $49 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $37 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $8 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $21 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $16 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $12 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $42 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $28 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $8 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $15 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $17 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $50 10h
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21? SELL Yes 11¢ $2 12h
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? SELL Yes 9¢ $2 12h
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? SELL Yes 7¢ $1 12h
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? SELL Yes 11¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $28 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $13 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $4 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $43 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records